October catalyst timeline

The dates matter. The details decide the trade.

Inflation, the Fed and earnings meet in the second half of October. Follow the releases, then look beyond the headline to margins, demand and cash flow.

Events & earnings

91 events · 75 earnings · 16 economic & policy releases

91 events shown

22 dates rechecked · Other dates remain tentative

JPMorgan ChaseJPMorgan ChaseJPMFinancials~07:00 ET · resultsDate confirmed

Can lending income hold up without more credit risk?

The company schedules Q3 results for approximately 07:00 ET on October 13, followed by the call at 08:30 ET. Release time and call time are different checkpoints. Company announcement · Sep 17

The last four reports

4/4 estimates beaten · 1/4 positive first sessions

JPMorgan Chase earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026Before open$6.14Beat$5.59+2.50%Jul 14 close
Q1 2026Before open$5.94Beat$5.50-0.82%Apr 14 close
Q4 2025Before open$5.23Beat$4.93-4.19%Jan 13 close
Q3 2025Before open$5.07Beat$4.83-1.91%Oct 14 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Net interest income: compare realized spread and management's next-quarter outlook
  2. Credit cards: track net charge-offs, delinquencies and reserve additions together
  3. Markets and IB: isolate advisory fees from potentially volatile trading revenue

Stronger evidence

Stable NII outlook and contained credit losses would support earnings quality beyond headline EPS.

What would weaken the case

A beat funded by reserve releases or one-off trading gains, paired with rising credit stress, is lower quality.

How the signal travels. Compare lending income, credit costs and fee revenue separately. A stronger result at one firm becomes a sector signal only if comparable banks show the same underlying change.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · BAC, WFC, C and KBE; Treasury yields and consumer-credit names. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Company announcement · Results about 07:00 ET; earnings call 08:30 ET. Announcement dated September 17, 2026.

Link to this event
Goldman SachsGoldman SachsGSFinancialsTime unconfirmedTentative date

Can deal fees support earnings if trading revenue slows?

The last four reports

4/4 estimates beaten · 2/4 positive first sessions

Goldman Sachs earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026Before open$20.98Beat$14.47+9.00%Jul 14 close
Q1 2026Before open$17.55Beat$15.92-1.87%Apr 13 close
Q4 2025Before open$13.55Beat$11.52+4.63%Jan 15 close
Q3 2025Before open$12.25Beat$10.27-2.04%Oct 14 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Advisory and underwriting: revenue growth versus management's live deal pipeline
  2. FICC versus equities: split trading trends instead of treating markets revenue as one bucket
  3. Capital returns: compensation ratio, expenses and share-repurchase capacity

Stronger evidence

Deal backlog converts into fees while trading and costs hold up; improved earnings mix may matter more than an EPS beat.

What would weaken the case

A strong headline masks weaker fixed-income trading or compensation pressure; pipeline language deteriorates.

How the signal travels. Compare lending income, credit costs and fee revenue separately. A stronger result at one firm becomes a sector signal only if comparable banks show the same underlying change.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · MS, JPM, C, KBE; IPO and M&A sentiment. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
CitigroupCitigroupCFinancialsTime unconfirmedTentative date

Can Citigroup simplify operations without losing revenue momentum or letting expenses run ahead?

The last four reports

4/4 estimates beaten · 2/4 positive first sessions

Citigroup earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026Before open$3.15Beat$2.74-5.29%Jul 14 close
Q1 2026Before open$3.06Beat$2.63+2.61%Apr 14 close
Q4 2025Before open$1.81Beat$1.65-3.34%Jan 14 close
Q3 2025Before open$2.24Beat$1.89+3.89%Oct 14 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Services and markets: compare growth against investment-banking softness
  2. Transformation spending: expense trajectory and regulatory remediation progress
  3. Credit: card charge-offs, allowance build and capital ratios

Stronger evidence

Operating efficiency improves and credit losses remain controlled, validating the restructuring timetable.

What would weaken the case

Expense guidance rises again while revenue is uneven or card losses accelerate.

How the signal travels. Compare lending income, credit costs and fee revenue separately. A stronger result at one firm becomes a sector signal only if comparable banks show the same underlying change.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · JPM, BAC, WFC, KBE; bank efficiency theme. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
Wells FargoWells FargoWFCFinancialsTime unconfirmedTentative date

Can loan and fee growth translate into durable returns?

The last four reports

4/4 estimates beaten · 1/4 positive first sessions

Wells Fargo earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026Before open$1.96Beat$1.73-2.71%Jul 14 close
Q1 2026Before open$1.60Beat$1.58-5.70%Apr 14 close
Q4 2025Before open$1.76Beat$1.66-4.61%Jan 14 close
Q3 2025Before open$1.73Beat$1.55+7.15%Oct 14 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Net interest income: deposit repricing versus asset yields
  2. Loan book: commercial-and-industrial activity and commercial real estate migration
  3. Capital: loan growth, buybacks and expense discipline

Stronger evidence

Better spread income plus loan demand, with stable credit, can make the earnings upgrade repeatable.

What would weaken the case

NII benefit is offset by expensive deposits, commercial real estate provisions or weak loan demand.

How the signal travels. Compare lending income, credit costs and fee revenue separately. A stronger result at one firm becomes a sector signal only if comparable banks show the same underlying change.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · BAC, PNC, USB and regional-bank ETFs. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
UnitedHealth GroupUnitedHealth GroupUNHHealth CareTime unconfirmedTentative date

Is elevated medical utilization stabilizing, or is the margin reset lasting longer than hoped?

The last four reports

4/4 estimates beaten · 3/4 positive first sessions

UnitedHealth Group earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026Before open$6.38Beat$4.94+1.16%Jul 16 close
Q1 2026Before open$7.23Beat$6.76+6.96%Apr 21 close
Q4 2025Before open$2.11Beat$2.09-19.61%Jan 27 close
Q3 2025Before open$2.92Beat$2.87+0.51%Oct 28 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Medical care ratio: compare current period with prior quarter and updated full-year outlook
  2. Medicare Advantage: benefit design, reimbursements and membership mix
  3. Optum: operating-profit trend and integration or regulatory costs

Stronger evidence

A stable care ratio with credible margin guidance suggests earnings normalization can begin.

What would weaken the case

Medical costs overshoot again and guidance relies on late-year improvement without clear evidence.

How the signal travels. Revenue growth improves the earnings case only if reimbursement, utilization and operating costs leave enough margin. Different product mixes can limit comparisons across peers.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · HUM, CVS, CI; managed-care sector. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
Johnson & JohnsonJohnson & JohnsonJNJHealth CareTime unconfirmedTentative date

Can newer drugs and medical devices offset patent and procedure-related pressures?

The last four reports

3/4 estimates beaten · 1/4 positive first sessions

Johnson & Johnson earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026Before open$2.90Beat$2.84-2.69%Jul 15 close
Q1 2026Before open$2.70Beat$2.68+0.90%Apr 14 close
Q4 2025Before open$2.46Met$2.46-0.09%Jan 21 close
Q3 2025Before open$2.80Beat$2.76-0.03%Oct 14 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. Release dates follow the timing source or issuer where the EPS provider differs. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Issuer date check · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Innovative Medicine: growth of newer products against legacy-product erosion
  2. MedTech: procedure-volume and electrophysiology trends
  3. Pipeline and litigation: upcoming catalysts and changes to expense assumptions

Stronger evidence

New franchises and devices drive underlying growth with guidance intact.

What would weaken the case

Weak volume growth or higher expense and legal assumptions squeeze next-year expectations.

How the signal travels. Revenue growth improves the earnings case only if reimbursement, utilization and operating costs leave enough margin. Different product mixes can limit comparisons across peers.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · MRK, ABBV, ABT; pharma versus medtech rotation. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
Domino’s PizzaDomino’s PizzaDPZConsumerTime unconfirmedTentative date

Can order frequency and value pricing support restaurant profits?

The last four reports

1/4 estimates beaten · 3/4 positive first sessions

Domino’s Pizza earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026Before open$4.07Miss$4.17+2.11%Jul 20 close
Q1 2026Before open$4.13Miss$4.29-8.84%Apr 27 close
Q4 2025Before open$5.35Miss$5.38+4.10%Feb 23 close
Q3 2025Before open$4.08Beat$3.96+3.91%Oct 14 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. U.S. same-store sales: transaction growth versus ticket inflation
  2. Delivery versus carryout: order mix and franchise margins
  3. International stores: net unit openings and development pace

Stronger evidence

Transaction-led growth suggests the value proposition is winning share sustainably.

What would weaken the case

Positive sales driven mainly by price or promotions with thinner franchise margins.

How the signal travels. Volume, pricing and customer mix determine whether sales growth produces more profit. Compare margins and cash conversion before treating stronger revenue as broad consumer resilience.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · MCD, SBUX, YUM, QSR; low-end consumer demand. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event

United StatesSeptember CPI Inflation ReportEconomic data08:30 ETOfficial schedule

Is inflation broadening again, or is the headline being pushed up mainly by energy?

BLS schedules September CPI for October 14 at 08:30 ET. Separate core monthly inflation from energy-driven headline changes before drawing a conclusion about underlying price pressure. BLS · official calendar

Before the release

September 2026

September CPI Inflation Report expectation snapshot, October 13, 2026.
IndicatorPreviousConsensusTE forecast
Core CPI · MoM0.3%0.2%0.2%
CPI · YoY3.4%3.7%3.6%

Consensus is the provider’s analyst survey; TE forecast is Trading Economics’ own estimate. A dash means unavailable, not zero.

Trading Economics calendar · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026 · Forecasts can change.

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Core CPI m/m: compare with consensus before looking at y/y base effects
  2. Shelter and core services: test persistence in non-energy categories
  3. Goods, food and gasoline: separate tariff/energy contributions from underlying trend

Stronger evidence

A soft core reading with cooling services would ease pressure on rate expectations and longer-duration valuations.

What would weaken the case

An upside core surprise, especially from services, may push Treasury yields and the dollar higher.

How the signal travels. Core inflation can change expected policy rates and Treasury yields; equity valuation effects depend on whether growth expectations change at the same time.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · UST 2Y/10Y, DXY, QQQ, growth stocks; compare S&P 500 sectors. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Official calendar · September CPI, October 14, 08:30 ET.

Link to this event
United StatesFederal Reserve Beige BookFederal Reserve14:00 ETOfficial schedule

Does anecdotal business evidence support sticky inflation or slowing growth?

Expectation framework

No numerical consensus applies to the Beige Book. Compare district reports on demand, hiring and pricing with the prior edition.

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Prices: breadth of reported increases versus the previous Beige Book
  2. Employment: hiring freezes, wage pressure and layoffs by region
  3. Demand: manufacturing and services commentary, including customer pushback

Stronger evidence

Cooling wage/price anecdotes without sharp demand deterioration support a softer policy path.

What would weaken the case

Widespread cost pressure or abrupt demand weakening could reshape the Fed's risk balance.

How the signal travels. A release affects markets through growth, inflation or the expected policy path. Watch revisions and composition before extending the headline number into an asset-price conclusion.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · Treasuries, USD, regional banks, cyclicals. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Official calendar · Beige Book, October 14, 14:00 ET.

Link to this event
Bank of AmericaBank of AmericaBACFinancialsTime unconfirmedTentative date

Can the deposit franchise capture higher asset yields without a jump in funding costs?

The last four reports

4/4 estimates beaten · 3/4 positive first sessions

Bank of America earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026Before open$1.21Beat$1.13+1.88%Jul 14 close
Q1 2026Before open$1.11Beat$0.9960+1.82%Apr 15 close
Q4 2025Before open$0.98Beat$0.96-3.78%Jan 14 close
Q3 2025Before open$1.06Beat$0.93+4.37%Oct 15 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Net interest income: management's fourth-quarter run-rate commentary
  2. Consumer and card credit: delinquencies and provision trajectory
  3. Investment banking: advisory and equity underwriting fees

Stronger evidence

NII guidance rises while credit remains orderly and wealth fees remain resilient.

What would weaken the case

Deposit betas rise faster than expected or consumer losses worsen beneath an earnings beat.

How the signal travels. Compare lending income, credit costs and fee revenue separately. A stronger result at one firm becomes a sector signal only if comparable banks show the same underlying change.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · JPM, WFC, C, KBE. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
Morgan StanleyMorgan StanleyMSFinancialsTime unconfirmedTentative date

Is wealth management still generating durable fee income while investment-banking activity normalizes?

The last four reports

4/4 estimates beaten · 4/4 positive first sessions

Morgan Stanley earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026Before open$3.46Beat$2.89+0.39%Jul 15 close
Q1 2026Before open$3.43Beat$3.02+4.52%Apr 15 close
Q4 2025Before open$2.68Beat$2.28+5.78%Jan 15 close
Q3 2025Before open$2.80Beat$2.07+4.71%Oct 15 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Wealth: net new assets, fee-bearing flows and pretax margin
  2. Institutional securities: advisory versus underwriting and trading mix
  3. Expenses: compensation and efficiency as market activity shifts

Stronger evidence

Steady wealth inflows plus improving advisory fees support a higher-quality earnings mix.

What would weaken the case

Wealth inflows slow and markets revenue masks weaker fee growth or cost leverage.

How the signal travels. Compare lending income, credit costs and fee revenue separately. A stronger result at one firm becomes a sector signal only if comparable banks show the same underlying change.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · GS, BLK, SCHW; private wealth and capital markets. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
ASMLASMLASMLSemiconductorsTime basis noted belowDate confirmed

Do bookings confirm that foundries and memory makers are committing to the next AI capacity wave?

The last four reports

3/4 estimates beaten · 2/4 positive first sessions

ASML earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026Before open$8.82Beat$7.98+2.23%Jul 15 close
Q1 2026Before open$8.37Beat$7.72-2.41%Apr 15 close
Q4 2025Before open$8.56Miss$9.01-2.18%Jan 28 close
Q3 2025Before open$6.42Beat$6.36+2.71%Oct 15 close

Benzinga USD earnings-surprise series. ASML's issuer reports in euros; provider currency conversion and EPS conventions can differ. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: Benzinga · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Bookings: net system orders by EUV versus DUV and customer concentration
  2. Backlog: conversion pace and tool-delivery timing, not only headline sales
  3. 2027 outlook: customer capex visibility, China mix and export restrictions

Stronger evidence

Healthy EUV orders and forward guidance validate capacity expansion beyond current AI enthusiasm.

What would weaken the case

Large revenue beat but thin bookings or export-related caution would challenge equipment expectations.

How the signal travels. Customer spending reaches chip and equipment suppliers through orders, shipments and utilization. Bookings support the demand case only if they later convert into revenue and cash.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · TSM, LRCX, AMAT, KLAC, SOXX. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Company announcement · October 14; issuer writes 07:00 CET for results and 15:00 CET for the call. October daylight-saving conventions make the label ambiguous; verify the issuer webcast rather than treating an ET conversion as confirmed.

Link to this event
BlackRockBlackRockBLKFinancialsTime unconfirmedTentative date

Do client inflows justify asset-management operating leverage despite volatile markets?

The last four reports

3/4 estimates beaten · 4/4 positive first sessions

BlackRock earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026Before open$13.91Beat$12.69+6.63%Jul 15 close
Q1 2026Before open$12.53Beat$12.40+3.02%Apr 14 close
Q4 2025Before open$13.16Beat$12.55+5.93%Jan 15 close
Q3 2025Before open$11.55Miss$11.78+3.39%Oct 14 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. ETF and long-term inflows: organic growth separately from market appreciation
  2. Alternatives: fundraising, fee-paying AUM and realized performance fees
  3. Operating margin: expense growth relative to base fees

Stronger evidence

Strong organic inflows and fee margins make AUM growth more durable than a market-only lift.

What would weaken the case

AUM rises mainly with asset prices while net flows and profitability underperform.

How the signal travels. Compare lending income, credit costs and fee revenue separately. A stronger result at one firm becomes a sector signal only if comparable banks show the same underlying change.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · STT, BK, BX, IVV and other fund providers. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
State StreetState StreetSTTFinancialsTime unconfirmedTentative date

Can custody and servicing fees grow despite changing market levels and client pricing?

The last four reports

4/4 estimates beaten · 1/4 positive first sessions

State Street earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026Before open$3.65Beat$3.34-0.50%Jul 16 close
Q1 2026Before open$2.84Beat$2.64+2.49%Apr 17 close
Q4 2025Before open$2.97Beat$2.82-6.07%Jan 16 close
Q3 2025Before open$2.78Beat$2.57-1.40%Oct 17 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Assets under custody: market-driven gains versus new mandates
  2. Servicing fees: organic basis-point retention and wins
  3. Net interest income: deposit mix and investment portfolio yields

Stronger evidence

New mandates and resilient servicing fees outweigh cyclical NII swings.

What would weaken the case

AUC grows but pricing and deposit costs erode fee leverage.

How the signal travels. Compare lending income, credit costs and fee revenue separately. A stronger result at one firm becomes a sector signal only if comparable banks show the same underlying change.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · BK, BLK, SCHW; institutional asset servicing. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event

United StatesSeptember Producer Price Index (PPI)Economic data08:30 ETOfficial schedule

Are upstream services and goods costs likely to complicate the upcoming PCE report?

Before the release

September 2026

September Producer Price Index (PPI) expectation snapshot, October 13, 2026.
IndicatorPreviousConsensusTE forecast
PPI · MoM0.4%0.5%0.5%
Core PPI · MoM0.2%0.3%0.3%

Consensus is the provider’s analyst survey; TE forecast is Trading Economics’ own estimate. A dash means unavailable, not zero.

Trading Economics calendar · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026 · Forecasts can change.

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Final-demand services and trade margins: watch volatile components
  2. Core PPI: gauge underlying wholesale pricing, not just headline energy
  3. PCE-related subcomponents: identify items that feed into the inflation model

Stronger evidence

Benign underlying services inputs reduce near-term core PCE upside risk.

What would weaken the case

Sticky service components could lift estimates for the Fed's preferred inflation measure.

How the signal travels. Some producer-price components feed into PCE estimates. Stronger upstream prices are relevant only to the extent that they persist or pass through to consumer prices.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · Treasuries, DXY, QQQ, pricing-power equities. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Official calendar · September PPI, October 15, 08:30 ET.

Link to this event
United StatesSeptember Retail SalesEconomic data08:30 ETOfficial schedule

Is consumption expanding in real terms, or are higher prices disguising weak volumes?

Before the release

September 2026

September Retail Sales expectation snapshot, October 13, 2026.
IndicatorPreviousConsensusTE forecast
Retail sales · MoM1.2%0.3%0.1%
Control group · MoM1.4%0.3%0.2%

Consensus is the provider’s analyst survey; TE forecast is Trading Economics’ own estimate. A dash means unavailable, not zero.

Trading Economics calendar · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026 · Forecasts can change.

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Control group: isolate the input that feeds GDP consumption
  2. Category mix: discretionary versus essentials and gasoline
  3. Revisions: prior-month changes can alter the demand signal

Stronger evidence

Real spending breadth supports growth expectations without implying a recession.

What would weaken the case

Weak control group and downward revisions would question consumer resilience.

How the signal travels. The release measures nominal goods sales. Inflation adjustment and the control group help distinguish purchasing power from price increases; the data do not cover all consumer services.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · XLY, XRT, AMZN, WMT, discretionary consumer stocks. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Official calendar · September retail sales, October 15, 08:30 ET.

Link to this event
United StatesWeekly Initial Jobless ClaimsEconomic dataTime unconfirmedTentative date

Is the labor market weakening quickly enough to change the rate debate?

Before the release

Week ending October 10

Weekly Initial Jobless Claims expectation snapshot, October 13, 2026.
IndicatorPreviousConsensusTE forecast
Initial claims197K200K201K

Consensus is the provider’s analyst survey; TE forecast is Trading Economics’ own estimate. A dash means unavailable, not zero.

Trading Economics calendar · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026 · Forecasts can change.

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Initial claims: weekly surprise relative to the recent trend
  2. Continuing claims: duration of unemployment versus new layoffs
  3. Four-week average: filter one-week holiday or seasonal noise

Stronger evidence

Stable claims alongside easing inflation leaves the Fed room to wait.

What would weaken the case

An unmistakable rise across initial and continuing claims signals growing labor-market stress.

How the signal travels. A release affects markets through growth, inflation or the expected policy path. Watch revisions and composition before extending the headline number into an asset-price conclusion.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · UST 2Y, USD, small caps, regional banks. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
TSMCTSMCTSMSemiconductors02:00 ET · callDate confirmed

Does AI demand justify the next leg of wafer capacity spending without sacrificing margins?

TSMC’s Q3 guidance is $44.6B–$45.8B in revenue, a 65%–67% gross margin and a 56%–58% operating margin. Compare results with these company ranges; a revenue beat alone does not establish better profitability. TSMC IR · guidance reviewed Oct 13

The last four reports

4/4 estimates beaten · 1/4 positive first sessions

TSMC earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026Before open$4.31Beat$3.82-2.32%Jul 16 close
Q1 2026Before open$3.49Beat$3.31-3.13%Apr 16 close
Q4 2025Before open$3.14Beat$2.82+4.44%Jan 15 close
Q3 2025Before open$2.92Beat$2.59-1.60%Oct 16 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. Release dates follow the timing source or issuer where the EPS provider differs. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Issuer date check · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Official Q3 revenue guidance: $44.6B–$45.8B
  2. Q3 gross margin guidance: 65.0%–67.0%
  3. Advanced nodes and CoWoS: supply bottlenecks, utilization and 2027 capex

Stronger evidence

Revenue and margins land toward the high end, and 2027 spending signals confirmed customer demand.

What would weaken the case

Revenue meets guidance but margin or capacity commentary points to rising execution costs.

How the signal travels. Customer spending reaches chip and equipment suppliers through orders, shipments and utilization. Bookings support the demand case only if they later convert into revenue and cash.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · NVDA, AMD, AVGO, ASML, SOXX. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Company announcement · Earnings conference October 15, 14:00 Taiwan time / 02:00 Eastern. This is the conference time, not an independently confirmed results release time.

Link to this event
Charles SchwabCharles SchwabSCHWFinancialsTime unconfirmedTentative date

Can client assets and cash-sweep economics keep improving as rate expectations shift?

The last four reports

4/4 estimates beaten · 1/4 positive first sessions

Charles Schwab earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026Before open$1.62Beat$1.56-2.52%Jul 21 close
Q1 2026Before open$1.43Beat$1.39-7.63%Apr 16 close
Q4 2025Before open$1.39Beat$1.32+0.79%Jan 21 close
Q3 2025Before open$1.31Beat$1.25-0.98%Oct 16 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Net new assets: organic inflow pace excluding market appreciation
  2. Client cash: sweep balances and migration into higher-yield products
  3. Net interest revenue: reinvestment yields, funding mix and guidance

Stronger evidence

Continued asset gathering and a better cash mix lift recurring earnings.

What would weaken the case

New assets slow and cash migration or funding costs delay NII improvement.

How the signal travels. Compare lending income, credit costs and fee revenue separately. A stronger result at one firm becomes a sector signal only if comparable banks show the same underlying change.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · IBKR, MS, HOOD and brokerage sector. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
PNC FinancialPNC FinancialPNCFinancialsTime unconfirmedTentative date

Are regional borrowers still expanding balance sheets at today's borrowing costs?

The last four reports

4/4 estimates beaten · 3/4 positive first sessions

PNC Financial earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026Before open$4.85Beat$4.46+0.90%Jul 15 close
Q1 2026Before open$4.32Beat$3.92+0.39%Apr 15 close
Q4 2025Before open$4.88Beat$4.23+3.79%Jan 16 close
Q3 2025Before open$4.35Beat$4.05-3.90%Oct 15 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. C&I and CRE loan growth: commitments versus actual utilization
  2. Deposit costs: noninterest-bearing balances and repricing
  3. Net charge-offs and provision: watch office real estate exposures

Stronger evidence

Loan demand firms as deposit costs stabilize, without a rise in stressed loans.

What would weaken the case

Weak commercial demand coincides with higher deposit costs or CRE provisions.

How the signal travels. Compare lending income, credit costs and fee revenue separately. A stronger result at one firm becomes a sector signal only if comparable banks show the same underlying change.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · USB, TFC, WFC, KRE. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
U.S. BancorpU.S. BancorpUSBFinancialsTime unconfirmedTentative date

Is the payments franchise insulating U.S. Bancorp from slower traditional lending?

The last four reports

4/4 estimates beaten · 1/4 positive first sessions

U.S. Bancorp earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026Before open$1.35Beat$1.28+1.59%Jul 16 close
Q1 2026Before open$1.18Beat$1.14-1.58%Apr 16 close
Q4 2025Before open$1.26Beat$1.19-0.04%Jan 20 close
Q3 2025Before open$1.22Beat$1.11-1.72%Oct 16 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Fee income: payments, merchant services and corporate-trust trends
  2. Net interest income: earning-asset mix versus deposit pricing
  3. Credit: consumer delinquencies and commercial real estate migration

Stronger evidence

Payments fees offset muted loans while credit and expenses stay contained.

What would weaken the case

Payment growth cools and incremental provisions overwhelm spread income.

How the signal travels. Compare lending income, credit costs and fee revenue separately. A stronger result at one firm becomes a sector signal only if comparable banks show the same underlying change.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · PNC, TFC, KRE; regional banking and payments. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
BNY MellonBNY MellonBNYFinancials11:00 ET · callDate confirmed

Does BNY's infrastructure-like fee base protect growth through market volatility?

The last four reports

4/4 estimates beaten · 3/4 positive first sessions

BNY Mellon earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026Before open$2.46Beat$2.16+5.08%Jul 15 close
Q1 2026Before open$2.25Beat$1.94+2.18%Apr 16 close
Q4 2025Before open$2.08Beat$1.97+1.88%Jan 13 close
Q3 2025Before open$1.91Beat$1.76-2.03%Oct 16 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. BNY replaced BK on May 21, 2026; the price series uses BNY. Release dates follow the timing source or issuer where the EPS provider differs. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Issuer date check · Ticker change · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Asset servicing: new mandates and fee revenue rather than AUC mark-to-market
  2. Issuer services: corporate activity and transaction volumes
  3. Efficiency: cost growth versus recurring fee growth

Stronger evidence

Fee growth and positive operating leverage indicate a resilient recurring franchise.

What would weaken the case

Market-based AUC gains fade while expense growth runs ahead of servicing fees.

How the signal travels. Compare lending income, credit costs and fee revenue separately. A stronger result at one firm becomes a sector signal only if comparable banks show the same underlying change.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · STT, BLK; custody and settlement businesses. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Company announcement · Issuer confirms October 15, 11:00 ET financial-results event; this is the webcast time, not an independently verified release time.

Link to this event
PrologisPrologisPLDReal EstateTime unconfirmedTentative date

Are logistics tenants absorbing space even as financing costs remain elevated?

The last four reports

3/4 estimates beaten · 4/4 positive first sessions

Prologis earnings history as of October 13, 2026. Core FFO / share in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported Core FFO / shareConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026Before open$1.13GAAP EPS $1.13Beat$0.7470+4.63%Jul 16 close
Q1 2026Before open$1.05GAAP EPS $1.05Beat$0.8060+1.72%Apr 16 close
Q4 2025Before open$1.44GAAP EPS $1.49Met$1.44+0.25%Jan 21 close
Q3 2025Before open$1.49GAAP EPS $0.82Beat$1.44+6.33%Oct 15 close

For this REIT, the provider’s consensus comparison is Core FFO per share; GAAP EPS is shown separately. Release dates follow the timing source or issuer where the EPS provider differs. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Issuer date check · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Occupancy and net effective rents: leasing spreads against renewal activity
  2. Development: starts, build-to-suit commitments and yields on new projects
  3. Data-center opportunities: signed deals versus speculative capital plans

Stronger evidence

Strong leasing spreads and committed projects support development economics.

What would weaken the case

Leasing slows and higher capital costs narrow expected returns on new buildings.

How the signal travels. Compare the operating driver, margin effect and cash timing with similar businesses before treating one company’s result as a broader market signal.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · Industrial REITs, logistics demand, AMZN and UPS. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
Interactive BrokersInteractive BrokersIBKRFinancialsTime unconfirmedTentative date

Can fast account growth offset lower monetization per trade or per dollar of assets?

The last four reports

4/4 estimates beaten · 1/4 positive first sessions

Interactive Brokers earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026After close$0.69Beat$0.64-0.97%Jul 22 close
Q1 2026After close$0.60Beat$0.57-1.90%Apr 22 close
Q4 2025After close$0.65Beat$0.50+6.00%Jan 21 close
Q3 2025After close$0.57Beat$0.49-3.34%Oct 17 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Accounts and client equity: growth excluding market appreciation
  2. Commissions: trading volumes and revenue per trade
  3. Net interest: margin balances and client cash yields

Stronger evidence

New accounts, active trading and interest income scale faster than expenses.

What would weaken the case

Accounts rise but trading intensity or spread economics deteriorate.

How the signal travels. Compare lending income, credit costs and fee revenue separately. A stronger result at one firm becomes a sector signal only if comparable banks show the same underlying change.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · HOOD, SCHW, retail-market activity. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event

United StatesSeptember Industrial ProductionEconomic data09:15 ETOfficial schedule

Are U.S. factories recovering beneath the GDP headline?

Before the release

September 2026

September Industrial Production expectation snapshot, October 13, 2026.
IndicatorPreviousConsensusTE forecast
Industrial output · MoM0.0%0.4%0.1%
Capacity utilization76.3%76.5%76.5%

Consensus is the provider’s analyst survey; TE forecast is Trading Economics’ own estimate. A dash means unavailable, not zero.

Trading Economics calendar · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026 · Forecasts can change.

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Manufacturing output: separate it from weather-sensitive utilities
  2. Capacity utilization: compare factory pressure with producer pricing
  3. Revisions and sector mix: autos, machinery and high-tech industries

Stronger evidence

Broader manufacturing gains would support industrial earnings without necessarily lifting inflation.

What would weaken the case

Weak core factory output would challenge cyclical and capital-spending expectations.

How the signal travels. A release affects markets through growth, inflation or the expected policy path. Watch revisions and composition before extending the headline number into an asset-price conclusion.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · XLI, CAT, GE, industrial and auto supply chains. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Official calendar · Industrial production, October 16, 09:15 ET.

Link to this event
United StatesSeptember Import & Export PricesEconomic data08:30 ETOfficial schedule

How much inflation pressure is entering through trade and energy prices?

Before the release

September 2026

September Import & Export Prices expectation snapshot, October 13, 2026.
IndicatorPreviousConsensusTE forecast
Import prices · MoM0.7%0.7%0.8%
Export prices · MoM0.6%1.0%0.7%

Consensus is the provider’s analyst survey; TE forecast is Trading Economics’ own estimate. A dash means unavailable, not zero.

Trading Economics calendar · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026 · Forecasts can change.

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Import prices ex fuel: imported consumer/intermediate-goods pricing
  2. Export prices: pricing power and competitiveness of U.S. producers
  3. FX and energy contributions: isolate movements unrelated to domestic demand

Stronger evidence

Muted nonfuel import prices reduce near-term goods-inflation risk.

What would weaken the case

Broad import cost increases raise margin pressure for import-heavy businesses.

How the signal travels. A release affects markets through growth, inflation or the expected policy path. Watch revisions and composition before extending the headline number into an asset-price conclusion.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · USD, retailers, industrial importers, inflation trades. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Official calendar · Import/export prices, October 16, 08:30 ET.

Link to this event
Truist FinancialTruist FinancialTFCFinancialsTime unconfirmedTentative date

Is the bank narrowing the gap between funding costs and its loan yields?

The last four reports

3/4 estimates beaten · 3/4 positive first sessions

Truist Financial earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026Before open$1.23Beat$1.08-1.41%Jul 17 close
Q1 2026Before open$1.09Beat$1.00+2.31%Apr 17 close
Q4 2025Before open$1.00Miss$1.09+1.79%Jan 21 close
Q3 2025Before open$1.04Beat$0.99+3.67%Oct 17 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Core NII: deposit competition versus yields on new lending
  2. Credit migration: criticized loans and provisioning for office CRE
  3. Expense efficiency: cost cuts versus franchise investment

Stronger evidence

Stabilizing spreads and clean credit allow higher profitability without extraordinary items.

What would weaken the case

Rising funding costs and credit migration keep earnings improvement out of reach.

How the signal travels. Compare lending income, credit costs and fee revenue separately. A stronger result at one firm becomes a sector signal only if comparable banks show the same underlying change.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · PNC, USB, KRE. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
TravelersTravelersTRVInsuranceTime unconfirmedTentative date

Can rate increases outpace claims inflation and catastrophe losses?

The last four reports

4/4 estimates beaten · 2/4 positive first sessions

Travelers earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026Before open$10.04Beat$5.41+9.22%Jul 17 close
Q1 2026Before open$7.71Beat$6.80-0.16%Apr 16 close
Q4 2025Before open$11.13Beat$8.34+1.13%Jan 21 close
Q3 2025Before open$8.14Beat$6.01-2.92%Oct 16 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Combined ratio: split underlying underwriting from catastrophe impacts
  2. Premium pricing: renewal rates versus loss-cost trend
  3. Reserves: prior-year development and commercial-lines pricing

Stronger evidence

Underlying combined ratio improves, indicating durable underwriting strength.

What would weaken the case

Catastrophe losses or adverse reserve development offset premium-rate gains.

How the signal travels. Compare the operating driver, margin effect and cash timing with similar businesses before treating one company’s result as a broader market signal.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · PGR, CB and broader P&C insurers. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event

GE AerospaceGE AerospaceGEIndustrialsTime unconfirmedTentative date

Is engine aftermarket growth translating into cash rather than just an order backlog?

The last four reports

4/4 estimates beaten · 2/4 positive first sessions

GE Aerospace earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026Before open$2.02Beat$1.86-4.06%Jul 16 close
Q1 2026Before open$1.86Beat$1.60+2.19%Apr 23 close
Q4 2025Before open$1.57Beat$1.43-7.38%Jan 22 close
Q3 2025Before open$1.66Beat$1.46+1.31%Oct 21 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. Release dates follow the timing source or issuer where the EPS provider differs. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Commercial engines: shop visits, services pricing and parts availability
  2. Orders versus shipments: timing of engine deliveries and supply-chain friction
  3. Free cash flow: working capital needed to support production

Stronger evidence

Rising services margins and cash conversion support aerospace earnings quality.

What would weaken the case

Supplier bottlenecks delay deliveries or working capital consumes growth.

How the signal travels. Backlog becomes an earnings signal when deliveries, unit costs and collections improve together. Working-capital demands can delay cash even when sales rise.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · RTX, SAF, BA; aerospace supply chain. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
Cleveland-CliffsCleveland-CliffsCLFMaterialsTime unconfirmedTentative date

Can steel pricing offset pressure on automotive demand?

The last four reports

4/4 estimates beaten · 2/4 positive first sessions

Cleveland-Cliffs earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026Before open-$0.20Beat-$0.2084+15.98%Jul 23 close
Q1 2026Before open-$0.40Beat-$0.44-2.11%Apr 20 close
Q4 2025Before open-$0.43Beat-$0.62-16.43%Feb 09 close
Q3 2025Before open-$0.45Beat-$0.48+21.47%Oct 20 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Realized steel price per ton: contract resets and spot exposure
  2. Shipments: auto-sector demand and plant utilization
  3. Cash costs: maintenance, labor and debt servicing

Stronger evidence

Prices and volumes improve together, producing positive cash leverage.

What would weaken the case

Pricing remains weak and utilization falls, pressuring liquidity despite cost cuts.

How the signal travels. Compare the operating driver, margin effect and cash timing with similar businesses before treating one company’s result as a broader market signal.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · NUE, STLD, GM and industrial cycle. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event

United StatesSeptember Housing Starts & Building PermitsEconomic data08:30 ETOfficial schedule

Do construction plans hold up when mortgage financing is expensive?

Before the release

September 2026 · Annualized units

September Housing Starts & Building Permits expectation snapshot, October 13, 2026.
IndicatorPreviousConsensusTE forecast
Housing starts1.275M—1.3M
Building permits1.403M—1.39M

Consensus is the provider’s analyst survey; TE forecast is Trading Economics’ own estimate. A dash means unavailable, not zero.

Trading Economics calendar · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026 · Forecasts can change.

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Permits: forward-looking single-family approvals versus starts
  2. Starts: multifamily volatility versus single-family trend
  3. Revisions and regional dispersion: distinguish noise from sustained weakness

Stronger evidence

Firm single-family permits suggest builders still see resilient end demand.

What would weaken the case

Both permits and starts weaken, signaling a longer construction slowdown.

How the signal travels. A release affects markets through growth, inflation or the expected policy path. Watch revisions and composition before extending the headline number into an asset-price conclusion.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · XHB, homebuilders, building-products names, mortgage rates. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Official calendar · Housing starts and permits, October 20, 08:30 ET.

Link to this event
NetflixNetflixNFLXTechnology~16:01 ET · resultsDate confirmed

Is advertising becoming a meaningful margin contributor, not just a growth narrative?

The last four reports

3/4 estimates beaten · 0/4 positive first sessions

Netflix earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026After close$0.80Beat$0.79-7.26%Jul 17 close
Q1 2026After close$1.23Beat$0.7590-9.72%Apr 17 close
Q4 2025After close$0.56Beat$0.55-2.18%Jan 21 close
Q3 2025After close$5.87Miss$6.96-10.07%Oct 22 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Ad-tier: scale and monetization, especially revenue contribution
  2. Engagement and pricing: churn, viewing share and plan mix
  3. Operating margin: content amortization against revenue growth

Stronger evidence

Ad monetization and engagement lift profitability while churn stays low.

What would weaken the case

Headline subscriber or revenue momentum hides slowing engagement or higher content spending.

How the signal travels. Separate recurring demand from spending that has yet to earn a return. Peer comparisons require matching product exposure and a similar revenue base.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · DIS, ROKU, AMZN advertising; streaming economics. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Company announcement · Results October 20, approximately 13:01 Pacific / 16:01 Eastern; interview 13:45 Pacific / 16:45 Eastern. Announcement September 14.

Link to this event
General MotorsGeneral MotorsGMAutomotiveTime unconfirmedTentative date

Can profitable trucks and SUVs finance EV spending in a higher-rate auto market?

The last four reports

4/4 estimates beaten · 4/4 positive first sessions

General Motors earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026Before open$3.57Beat$3.19+4.91%Jul 21 close
Q1 2026Before open$3.70Beat$2.61+1.27%Apr 28 close
Q4 2025Before open$2.51Beat$2.26+8.75%Jan 27 close
Q3 2025Before open$2.80Beat$2.32+14.86%Oct 21 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. North American EBIT margins: mix, pricing and dealer incentives
  2. EV economics: losses, inventory and battery utilization
  3. Free cash flow: working capital and capital returns

Stronger evidence

Core ICE profitability holds while EV losses shrink and inventory stays disciplined.

What would weaken the case

Incentives rise, financing pressure slows demand or EV losses widen.

How the signal travels. Volume reaches profit through selling prices, manufacturing costs and inventory. More deliveries can still leave less cash if discounts or investment absorb the proceeds.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · F, TSLA, suppliers and auto-credit names. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
RTX CorporationRTX CorporationRTXDefenseTime unconfirmedTentative date

Is commercial aftermarket strength enough to absorb engine remediation and defense execution costs?

The last four reports

4/4 estimates beaten · 3/4 positive first sessions

RTX Corporation earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026Before open$1.89Beat$1.66+7.33%Jul 23 close
Q1 2026Before open$1.78Beat$1.52-4.40%Apr 21 close
Q4 2025Before open$1.55Beat$1.47+3.68%Jan 27 close
Q3 2025Before open$1.70Beat$1.41+7.67%Oct 21 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Pratt & Whitney: GTF inspection costs and aftermarket service trajectory
  2. Collins: commercial production rates and margins
  3. Defense: order intake, fixed-price program exposure and cash conversion

Stronger evidence

Aftermarket and defense backlog convert into higher margins and cash.

What would weaken the case

Engine costs or delayed defense contracts absorb operating gains.

How the signal travels. Compare the operating driver, margin effect and cash timing with similar businesses before treating one company’s result as a broader market signal.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · GE, LMT, BA; aviation parts and defense. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
Intuitive SurgicalIntuitive SurgicalISRGHealth CareTime unconfirmedTentative date

Is procedure utilization supporting recurring revenue faster than new system placements?

The last four reports

4/4 estimates beaten · 2/4 positive first sessions

Intuitive Surgical earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026After close$2.80Beat$2.48-14.15%Jul 17 close
Q1 2026After close$2.50Beat$2.08+7.16%Apr 22 close
Q4 2025After close$2.53Beat$2.27-0.35%Jan 23 close
Q3 2025After close$2.40Beat$1.99+13.89%Oct 22 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Procedure growth: installed-base utilization versus new placements
  2. da Vinci 5: installed systems, training and upgrade cadence
  3. Recurring revenue: instruments, accessories and service per procedure

Stronger evidence

Procedure-led growth broadens recurring revenue even if capital budgets are cautious.

What would weaken the case

Placement growth slows without corresponding utilization gains, limiting operating leverage.

How the signal travels. Revenue growth improves the earnings case only if reimbursement, utilization and operating costs leave enough margin. Different product mixes can limit comparisons across peers.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · ABT, SYK, medical robotics and hospital-capex suppliers. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
Capital OneCapital OneCOFFinancialsTime unconfirmedTentative date

Are credit-card yields still compensating for charge-offs as households face higher bills?

The last four reports

2/4 estimates beaten · 1/4 positive first sessions

Capital One earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026After close$5.81Beat$4.79-2.36%Jul 22 close
Q1 2026After close$4.42Miss$5.08-1.52%Apr 22 close
Q4 2025After close$3.86Miss$4.14-7.56%Jan 23 close
Q3 2025After close$5.95Beat$4.25+1.53%Oct 22 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. Release dates follow the timing source or issuer where the EPS provider differs. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Issuer date check · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Net charge-off rate: actual losses versus seasonality and reserve expectations
  2. Purchase volume and balances: organic spending versus borrowing demand
  3. Funding: deposit rates and securitization costs

Stronger evidence

Stable credit costs and active spending support risk-adjusted loan profitability.

What would weaken the case

Charge-offs or funding expenses rise faster than card yields.

How the signal travels. Compare lending income, credit costs and fee revenue separately. A stronger result at one firm becomes a sector signal only if comparable banks show the same underlying change.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · AXP, DFS legacy business exposure, JPM and consumer credit. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
United AirlinesUnited AirlinesUALAirlinesTime unconfirmedTentative date

Can premium travel demand protect profits when fuel costs rise?

The last four reports

4/4 estimates beaten · 1/4 positive first sessions

United Airlines earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026After close$1.99Beat$1.88-1.79%Jul 16 close
Q1 2026After close$1.19Beat$1.08-5.58%Apr 22 close
Q4 2025After close$3.10Beat$2.97+2.20%Jan 21 close
Q3 2025Before open$2.78Beat$2.65-5.63%Oct 16 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. Release dates follow the timing source or issuer where the EPS provider differs. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Unit revenue: PRASM and premium-cabin yield
  2. Fuel expense: cost per gallon and hedging or surcharge recovery
  3. Capacity: international load factors and updated quarterly guidance

Stronger evidence

Yields and premium mix offset fuel, protecting operating margins.

What would weaken the case

Higher fuel and softening unit revenue lead to weaker forward guidance.

How the signal travels. Compare the operating driver, margin effect and cash timing with similar businesses before treating one company’s result as a broader market signal.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · DAL, AAL, BA; leisure and business travel. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event

Lam ResearchLam ResearchLRCXSemiconductorsTime unconfirmedTentative date

Does memory spending recovery extend into equipment orders beyond advanced AI logic?

The last four reports

4/4 estimates beaten · 3/4 positive first sessions

Lam Research earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q4 2026After close$1.82Beat$1.69+17.98%Jul 30 close
Q3 2026After close$1.47Beat$1.36-2.63%Apr 23 close
Q2 2026After close$1.27Beat$1.17+3.59%Jan 29 close
Q1 2026After close$1.26Beat$1.22+4.45%Oct 23 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Memory mix: HBM/DRAM fab-equipment budgets versus NAND demand
  2. Orders and shipments: etch/deposition bookings versus near-term revenue
  3. Installed-base services: utilization and customer equipment uptime

Stronger evidence

Orders rise across memory and advanced packaging with healthy installed-base demand.

What would weaken the case

One-time shipments mask cautious customer budgets or a narrow AI-only recovery.

How the signal travels. Customer spending reaches chip and equipment suppliers through orders, shipments and utilization. Bookings support the demand case only if they later convert into revenue and cash.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · AMAT, KLAC, ASML, MU, SOXX. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
TeslaTeslaTSLAAutomotive / AIAfter close · resultsDate confirmed

After 486,532 Q3 deliveries, are vehicle sales generating the cash required for AI ambitions?

Tesla reported 486,532 Q3 vehicle deliveries and 13.7 GWh of storage deployments on October 2. The earnings release still needs to establish pricing, margins and cash flow; deliveries are not a profit measure. Tesla IR · Oct 2 operating update

The last four reports

3/4 estimates beaten · 1/4 positive first sessions

Tesla earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026After close$0.33Miss$0.50-14.52%Jul 23 close
Q1 2026After close$0.41Beat$0.39-3.56%Apr 23 close
Q4 2025After close$0.50Beat$0.45-3.45%Jan 29 close
Q3 2025After close$0.50Beat$0.48+2.28%Oct 23 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. Release dates follow the timing source or issuer where the EPS provider differs. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Automotive gross margin ex-credits: pricing, mix and manufacturing costs
  2. Free cash flow: operating cash less capex for AI, factories and robotics
  3. Energy storage: 13.7 GWh Q3 deployment versus segment gross profit

Stronger evidence

Core auto margin and FCF improve while management clarifies measurable AI deployment milestones.

What would weaken the case

Delivery strength coexists with margin compression, rising cash burn or delayed commercialization.

How the signal travels. Volume reaches profit through selling prices, manufacturing costs and inventory. More deliveries can still leave less cash if discounts or investment absorb the proceeds.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · GM, F, battery supply chain, autonomous-driving peers. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Company announcement · October 21 after market close; Q&A 17:30 ET. Announcement October 2.

Link to this event
Thermo FisherThermo FisherTMOHealth CareTime unconfirmedTentative date

Are biopharma laboratories reopening capital budgets after a prolonged equipment reset?

The last four reports

4/4 estimates beaten · 2/4 positive first sessions

Thermo Fisher earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026Before open$6.03Beat$5.71+8.71%Jul 23 close
Q1 2026Before open$5.44Beat$5.25-9.20%Apr 23 close
Q4 2025Before open$6.57Beat$6.45-2.61%Jan 29 close
Q3 2025Before open$5.79Beat$5.50+1.65%Oct 22 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Analytical instruments: orders and instrument revenue versus consumables
  2. Bioproduction: biotech funding exposure and order conversion
  3. Geography: China demand and FX versus organic growth

Stronger evidence

Orders recover across instruments and bioproduction, not just restocking.

What would weaken the case

Consumables hold up but equipment demand and guidance remain weak.

How the signal travels. Revenue growth improves the earnings case only if reimbursement, utilization and operating costs leave enough margin. Different product mixes can limit comparisons across peers.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · DHR, A, life-science tools and CROs. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
Abbott LaboratoriesAbbott LaboratoriesABTHealth CareTime unconfirmedTentative date

Can device innovation support broad growth despite reimbursement and pricing pressure?

The last four reports

2/4 estimates beaten · 1/4 positive first sessions

Abbott Laboratories earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026Before open$1.31Beat$1.28+10.71%Jul 16 close
Q1 2026Before open$1.15Beat$1.14-6.00%Apr 16 close
Q4 2025Before open$1.50Met$1.50-10.04%Jan 22 close
Q3 2025Before open$1.30Met$1.30-2.87%Oct 15 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Diabetes care: Libre CGM revenue and user adoption
  2. Cardiovascular devices: procedure trends and product mix
  3. Nutrition/diagnostics: organic growth and full-year guidance

Stronger evidence

CGM adoption and devices sustain organic growth with stable margins.

What would weaken the case

Competition or reimbursement pressure offsets volume growth.

How the signal travels. Revenue growth improves the earnings case only if reimbursement, utilization and operating costs leave enough margin. Different product mixes can limit comparisons across peers.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · ISRG, DXCM, MDT; medical devices. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
DanaherDanaherDHRHealth CareTime unconfirmedTentative date

Is bioprocessing recovery backed by real customer orders instead of inventory normalization?

The last four reports

4/4 estimates beaten · 1/4 positive first sessions

Danaher earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026Before open$1.94Beat$1.85-10.99%Jul 21 close
Q1 2026Before open$2.06Beat$1.94-0.49%Apr 21 close
Q4 2025Before open$2.23Beat$2.14-4.76%Jan 28 close
Q3 2025Before open$1.89Beat$1.72+5.94%Oct 21 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. Release dates follow the timing source or issuer where the EPS provider differs. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Bioprocessing: order book versus reported revenue
  2. Life science and diagnostics: recurring consumables against instrument sales
  3. Guidance: organic growth and margin assumptions for 2027

Stronger evidence

Sustained bioprocessing orders indicate demand visibility beyond a short restock.

What would weaken the case

Orders fail to keep pace with sales, weakening the recovery thesis.

How the signal travels. Revenue growth improves the earnings case only if reimbursement, utilization and operating costs leave enough margin. Different product mixes can limit comparisons across peers.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · TMO, A, biopharma-capex suppliers. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
IBMIBMIBMTechnologyTime unconfirmedTentative date

Does generative AI create meaningful software and consulting backlog conversion?

The last four reports

3/4 estimates beaten · 2/4 positive first sessions

IBM earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026After close$2.93Met$2.93+0.43%Jul 23 close
Q1 2026After close$1.91Beat$1.81-8.25%Apr 23 close
Q4 2025After close$4.52Beat$4.33+5.13%Jan 29 close
Q3 2025After close$2.65Beat$2.45-0.87%Oct 23 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Red Hat: subscription growth and hybrid-cloud adoption
  2. AI book of business: contracted projects versus revenue recognition
  3. Consulting: signings, utilization and margin, alongside FCF

Stronger evidence

Software recurring revenue and AI backlog translate into cash without consulting dilution.

What would weaken the case

Bookings rise but delivery, utilization or FCF lag the promotional narrative.

How the signal travels. Separate recurring demand from spending that has yet to earn a return. Peer comparisons require matching product exposure and a similar revenue base.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · NOW, MSFT, ORCL; enterprise software and AI services. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
Texas InstrumentsTexas InstrumentsTXNSemiconductorsTime unconfirmedTentative date

Are industrial and automotive customers past the inventory trough?

The last four reports

2/4 estimates beaten · 2/4 positive first sessions

Texas Instruments earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026After close$2.14Beat$1.91-3.13%Jul 23 close
Q1 2026After close$1.68Beat$1.37+19.43%Apr 23 close
Q4 2025After close$1.27Miss$1.29+9.94%Jan 28 close
Q3 2025After close$1.48Met$1.48-5.60%Oct 22 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Industrial and auto demand: sequential growth and customer inventory
  2. Gross margin: factory utilization versus inventory build
  3. Capex and FCF: returns on new analog capacity

Stronger evidence

Broad-based customer restocking and higher utilization improve gross margin.

What would weaken the case

Orders remain patchy while fab expansion keeps depreciation high.

How the signal travels. Customer spending reaches chip and equipment suppliers through orders, shipments and utilization. Bookings support the demand case only if they later convert into revenue and cash.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · ADI, NXPI, ON and analog semiconductor cycle. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
AT&TAT&TTTelecomTime unconfirmedTentative date

Can fiber and wireless subscriber gains sustain cash flow amid intense pricing competition?

The last four reports

3/4 estimates beaten · 3/4 positive first sessions

AT&T earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026Before open$0.65Beat$0.59+3.50%Jul 22 close
Q1 2026Before open$0.57Beat$0.5540+0.39%Apr 22 close
Q4 2025Before open$0.52Beat$0.46+4.65%Jan 28 close
Q3 2025Before open$0.54Met$0.54-1.92%Oct 22 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Postpaid phones: net adds, churn and average revenue per user
  2. Fiber: net additions and penetration of new passings
  3. Free cash flow: network capex versus dividend and debt

Stronger evidence

Subscriber growth plus FCF makes pricing competitive without sacrificing returns.

What would weaken the case

Promotions win customers but dilute ARPU or require heavier capex.

How the signal travels. Compare the operating driver, margin effect and cash timing with similar businesses before treating one company’s result as a broader market signal.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · VZ, TMUS, cable broadband and telecom equipment. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event

Procter & GambleProcter & GamblePGConsumerTime unconfirmedTentative date

Are pricing gains now backed by volume rather than simply inflation?

The last four reports

4/4 estimates beaten · 3/4 positive first sessions

Procter & Gamble earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q4 2026Before open$1.43Beat$1.41-1.87%Jul 29 close
Q3 2026Before open$1.59Beat$1.56+1.70%Apr 24 close
Q2 2026Before open$1.88Beat$1.86+2.65%Jan 22 close
Q1 2026Before open$1.99Beat$1.90+0.18%Oct 24 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. Release dates follow the timing source or issuer where the EPS provider differs. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Organic sales bridge: volume versus price and FX
  2. Category share: grooming, fabric and beauty demand
  3. Gross margin: input costs and promotion intensity

Stronger evidence

Unit volume strengthens while price realization and margins remain resilient.

What would weaken the case

Growth relies primarily on pricing as consumers trade down or switch brands.

How the signal travels. Volume, pricing and customer mix determine whether sales growth produces more profit. Compare margins and cash conversion before treating stronger revenue as broad consumer resilience.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · CL, KMB, PEP; household consumer demand. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
McDonald’sMcDonald’sMCDConsumerTime unconfirmedTentative date

Is value-menu traffic improving restaurant economics, not just sales comparisons?

The last four reports

3/4 estimates beaten · 2/4 positive first sessions

McDonald’s earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026Before open$3.38Beat$3.32+1.17%Aug 04 close
Q1 2026Before open$2.83Beat$2.74-0.14%May 07 close
Q4 2025Before open$3.12Beat$3.05-0.85%Feb 11 close
Q3 2025Before open$3.22Miss$3.33+2.16%Nov 05 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Comparable sales: transactions versus average ticket in the U.S.
  2. Franchisees: margins after labor and food costs
  3. International: demand in key markets and promotional spending

Stronger evidence

Positive traffic, manageable promotions and stable franchise margins sustain share gains.

What would weaken the case

Discounting lifts traffic but squeezes restaurant profitability.

How the signal travels. Volume, pricing and customer mix determine whether sales growth produces more profit. Compare margins and cash conversion before treating stronger revenue as broad consumer resilience.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · DPZ, YUM, QSR, SBUX. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
BlackstoneBlackstoneBXFinancialsTime unconfirmedTentative date

Can private-asset exits restart while high borrowing costs constrain deal valuations?

The last four reports

4/4 estimates beaten · 1/4 positive first sessions

Blackstone earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026Before open$1.52Beat$1.34+1.37%Jul 23 close
Q1 2026Before open$1.36Beat$1.34-5.70%Apr 23 close
Q4 2025Before open$1.75Beat$1.54-2.62%Jan 29 close
Q3 2025Before open$1.52Beat$1.23-4.17%Oct 23 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Realizations: exits and distributable earnings versus unrealized marks
  2. Fundraising: private credit and infrastructure demand
  3. Portfolio: real estate values, liquidity and fee-paying AUM

Stronger evidence

Exits and fee earnings recover without aggressive valuation assumptions.

What would weaken the case

Marks remain high but realizations stay limited and performance fees slip.

How the signal travels. Compare lending income, credit costs and fee revenue separately. A stronger result at one firm becomes a sector signal only if comparable banks show the same underlying change.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · KKR, APO, BLK and private-credit markets. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
ShopifyShopifySHOPTechnologyTime unconfirmedTentative date

Does merchant-volume growth increasingly turn into high-margin services revenue?

The last four reports

3/4 estimates beaten · 3/4 positive first sessions

Shopify earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026Before open$0.42Beat$0.40+16.98%Aug 05 close
Q3 2025Before open$0.27Beat$0.24-6.94%Nov 04 close
-Before open$0.35Beat$0.29+21.97%Aug 06 close
Q4 2024Before open$0.34Miss$0.44+3.08%Feb 11 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. GMV: merchant cohort growth and large-enterprise wins
  2. Merchant solutions: payments penetration and take rate
  3. Free cash flow: operating leverage against fulfillment and AI expenses

Stronger evidence

Merchant solutions scale profitably, lifting take rate and FCF with GMV.

What would weaken the case

GMV growth needs incentives or spending that erodes incremental margin.

How the signal travels. Separate recurring demand from spending that has yet to earn a return. Peer comparisons require matching product exposure and a similar revenue base.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · AMZN, PYPL, SQ/XYZ; ecommerce software. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
Lockheed MartinLockheed MartinLMTDefenseTime unconfirmedTentative date

Are procurement commitments becoming deliveries and cash despite program inflation?

The last four reports

2/4 estimates beaten · 2/4 positive first sessions

Lockheed Martin earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026Before open$7.94Beat$7.22+10.54%Jul 23 close
Q1 2026Before open$6.44Miss$6.79-4.62%Apr 23 close
Q4 2025Before open$5.80Miss$6.33+4.23%Jan 29 close
Q3 2025Before open$6.95Beat$6.33-3.24%Oct 21 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Backlog: funded versus unfunded orders and missile demand
  2. Production: F-35 and munitions delivery timing
  3. Margins and FCF: fixed-price program charges and working capital

Stronger evidence

Deliveries and cash collections catch up with funded backlog.

What would weaken the case

Cost overruns or delays mean order strength does not reach earnings.

How the signal travels. Compare the operating driver, margin effect and cash timing with similar businesses before treating one company’s result as a broader market signal.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · RTX, NOC, GD; defense primes. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
NewmontNewmontNEMGold & MiningTime unconfirmedTentative date

How much of elevated gold pricing reaches shareholders after mining costs?

The last four reports

4/4 estimates beaten · 1/4 positive first sessions

Newmont earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026After close$2.10Beat$2.05-1.62%Jul 24 close
Q1 2026After close$2.90Beat$2.07+8.68%Apr 24 close
Q4 2025After close$2.52Beat$1.81-2.61%Feb 20 close
Q3 2025After close$1.71Beat$1.27-6.23%Oct 24 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Realized gold price versus all-in sustaining cost per ounce
  2. Production: grade, recovery and mine disruptions
  3. Free cash flow: debt reduction and shareholder returns

Stronger evidence

Margin per ounce and FCF expand faster than operating cost inflation.

What would weaken the case

Cost or capex inflation absorbs gains despite a strong bullion price.

How the signal travels. Compare the operating driver, margin effect and cash timing with similar businesses before treating one company’s result as a broader market signal.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · GOLD, AEM, GDX; gold miners versus spot bullion. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
Union PacificUnion PacificUNPIndustrialsTime unconfirmedTentative date

Can pricing and productivity protect profits when freight volumes are uneven?

The last four reports

3/4 estimates beaten · 3/4 positive first sessions

Union Pacific earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026Before open$3.41Beat$3.26+4.02%Jul 23 close
Q1 2026Before open$2.93Beat$2.86+8.77%Apr 23 close
Q4 2025Before open$2.86Miss$2.92+0.72%Jan 27 close
Q3 2025Before open$3.08Beat$2.99-2.31%Oct 23 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Carloads: industrial, intermodal and coal segment trends
  2. Yield: price per car versus fuel surcharges
  3. Operating ratio: labor and network productivity

Stronger evidence

Operating ratio improves on a stable or recovering volume base.

What would weaken the case

Weak carloads and service spending overwhelm pricing gains.

How the signal travels. Backlog becomes an earnings signal when deliveries, unit costs and collections improve together. Working-capital demands can delay cash even when sales rise.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · CSX, NSC, truckers and industrial production. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
ComcastComcastCMCSATelecomTime unconfirmedTentative date

Can broadband economics stabilize while streaming losses narrow?

The last four reports

4/4 estimates beaten · 2/4 positive first sessions

Comcast earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026Before open$1.04Beat$0.97-6.80%Jul 23 close
Q1 2026Before open$0.79Beat$0.73+7.73%Apr 23 close
Q4 2025Before open$0.84Beat$0.75+2.92%Jan 29 close
Q3 2025Before open$1.12Beat$1.10-4.24%Oct 30 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Broadband: net subscribers and ARPU separately
  2. Wireless bundling: mobile adds and retention effect
  3. Streaming and media: Peacock loss trajectory and advertising

Stronger evidence

Broadband cash generation remains firm as streaming losses decline.

What would weaken the case

Broadband churn accelerates or bundled offers erode profitability.

How the signal travels. Compare the operating driver, margin effect and cash timing with similar businesses before treating one company’s result as a broader market signal.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · CHTR, VZ, NFLX, DIS; home broadband. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event

American ExpressAmerican ExpressAXPFinancialsTime unconfirmedTentative date

Are affluent cardholders maintaining spend without rising credit stress?

The last four reports

3/4 estimates beaten · 1/4 positive first sessions

American Express earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026Before open$4.53Beat$4.41-4.30%Jul 24 close
Q1 2026Before open$4.28Beat$4.01-4.31%Apr 23 close
Q4 2025Before open$3.53Miss$3.54-1.77%Jan 30 close
Q3 2025Before open$4.14Beat$3.98+7.27%Oct 17 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Billed business: travel/entertainment versus goods spending
  2. Credit: net write-offs and delinquency among premium customers
  3. Rewards costs: marketing, benefits and net interest income

Stronger evidence

Premium spend and fee growth remain firm while credit losses stay historically contained.

What would weaken the case

Spending slows and reward expenses squeeze fee economics.

How the signal travels. Compare lending income, credit costs and fee revenue separately. A stronger result at one firm becomes a sector signal only if comparable banks show the same underlying change.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · V, MA, COF, JPM; high-end consumer health. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
SLBSLBSLBEnergyTime unconfirmedTentative date

Can international project activity offset shifting crude prices and U.S. shale caution?

The last four reports

4/4 estimates beaten · 2/4 positive first sessions

SLB earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026Before open$0.55Beat$0.5110+11.01%Jul 24 close
Q1 2026Before open$0.52Beat$0.51+2.58%Apr 24 close
Q4 2025Before open$0.78Beat$0.74-0.34%Jan 23 close
Q3 2025Before open$0.69Beat$0.67-0.88%Oct 17 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. Release dates follow the timing source or issuer where the EPS provider differs. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. International orders: Middle East and offshore spending commitments
  2. Margins: equipment mix, digital services and pricing
  3. Cash: receivables and project timing as energy prices fluctuate

Stronger evidence

Long-cycle international projects maintain margins and order visibility.

What would weaken the case

Customers defer projects and working capital rises as budgets tighten.

How the signal travels. Price, project mix and operating costs determine how much demand reaches free cash flow. Similar commodity exposure does not imply the same margin outcome.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · HAL, BKR, XLE; oilfield capex. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event

CadenceCadenceCDNSSemiconductorsTime unconfirmedTentative date

Can AI-chip complexity keep electronic-design automation demand growing despite export limits?

The last four reports

4/4 estimates beaten · 2/4 positive first sessions

Cadence earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026After close$2.11Beat$2.05+1.80%Jul 28 close
Q1 2026After close$1.96Beat$1.91-3.34%Apr 28 close
Q4 2025After close$1.99Beat$1.91+7.60%Feb 18 close
Q3 2025After close$1.93Beat$1.79-2.87%Oct 28 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Recurring software: renewal and seat growth
  2. Hardware/verification: emulator and prototyping orders
  3. Guidance: backlog conversion, China mix and margins

Stronger evidence

Advanced-node design activity expands software and hardware demand without margin sacrifice.

What would weaken the case

Export controls or lumpy hardware shipments weaken the forward view.

How the signal travels. Customer spending reaches chip and equipment suppliers through orders, shipments and utilization. Bookings support the demand case only if they later convert into revenue and cash.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · SNPS, NVDA, TSM; semiconductor design tools. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
VerizonVerizonVZTelecomTime unconfirmedTentative date

Are wireless service revenues defensible against cable and satellite competition?

The last four reports

4/4 estimates beaten · 4/4 positive first sessions

Verizon earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026Before open$1.30Beat$1.27+5.84%Jul 24 close
Q1 2026Before open$1.28Beat$1.21+1.55%Apr 27 close
Q4 2025Before open$1.09Beat$1.06+11.83%Jan 30 close
Q3 2025Before open$1.21Beat$1.19+2.26%Oct 29 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Postpaid phone net adds and churn: quantify competitive leakage
  2. ARPU and promotions: gross adds versus discounts
  3. FCF: capex, dividend coverage and debt

Stronger evidence

Lower churn and healthy FCF show that competitiveness is improving sustainably.

What would weaken the case

Higher promotions fail to retain subscribers or pressure cash generation.

How the signal travels. Compare the operating driver, margin effect and cash timing with similar businesses before treating one company’s result as a broader market signal.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · T, TMUS, CMCSA; wireless pricing. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
Booking HoldingsBooking HoldingsBKNGConsumerTime unconfirmedTentative date

Is international travel normalization becoming slower growth or sustained pricing power?

The last four reports

4/4 estimates beaten · 2/4 positive first sessions

Booking Holdings earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026After close$2.54Beat$2.43+6.56%Aug 05 close
Q1 2026After close$1.14Beat$1.08+0.35%Apr 29 close
Q4 2025After close$48.80Beat$1.9184-6.15%Feb 19 close
Q3 2025After close$3.98Beat$3.8224-0.87%Oct 29 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. Release dates follow the timing source or issuer where the EPS provider differs. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Room nights: volume growth versus ADR and geography
  2. Take rate: merchant transactions and marketing spend
  3. Guidance: Europe, Asia and alternative accommodation mix

Stronger evidence

Room-night demand and marketing efficiency offset softer average rates.

What would weaken the case

Bookings rely on incentives while accommodation prices and margins weaken.

How the signal travels. Volume, pricing and customer mix determine whether sales growth produces more profit. Compare margins and cash conversion before treating stronger revenue as broad consumer resilience.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · EXPE, ABNB, airlines and hotels. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event

United StatesFOMC Meeting — Day OneFederal ReserveOct 27–28 · meetingOfficial schedule

Which policy signal would change the path for rates?

Expectation framework

There is no separate rate decision on day one. Numerical expectations belong to the October 28 decision; watch the statement and press conference then.

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Fed-funds futures: implied rate path before the statement
  2. Latest CPI/PCE and labor data: which side of the mandate dominates
  3. Yield curve: front-end rates versus long-term inflation compensation

Stronger evidence

Clear disinflation with steady growth reduces the need for a hawkish surprise.

What would weaken the case

Sticky inflation and rising yields increase the risk of a restrictive message.

How the signal travels. The first meeting day is preparation for the October 28 announcement. Avoid treating a meeting start as a separate rate decision.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · UST 2Y/10Y, DXY, QQQ, regional banks. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Official calendar · Two-day FOMC meeting October 27–28; no scheduled policy decision on day one.

Link to this event
United StatesSeptember Durable Goods OrdersEconomic data08:30 ETOfficial schedule

Are companies committing to machinery despite higher financing costs?

Before the release

September 2026

September Durable Goods Orders expectation snapshot, October 13, 2026.
IndicatorPreviousConsensusTE forecast
Durable orders · MoM0.0%—0.2%
Ex transportation · MoM——0.3%

Consensus is the provider’s analyst survey; TE forecast is Trading Economics’ own estimate. A dash means unavailable, not zero.

Trading Economics calendar · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026 · Forecasts can change.

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Core capital goods ex aircraft: new orders and shipments
  2. Transportation: strip out volatile aircraft orders
  3. Revisions: confirm whether business investment is broad or narrow

Stronger evidence

Underlying equipment orders recover without relying on aircraft volatility.

What would weaken the case

Core orders weaken, signaling CFO caution and softer investment demand.

How the signal travels. A release affects markets through growth, inflation or the expected policy path. Watch revisions and composition before extending the headline number into an asset-price conclusion.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · XLI, machinery, industrial technology, USD. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Official calendar · Durable goods orders, October 27, 08:30 ET.

Link to this event
United StatesSeptember New Home SalesEconomic data10:00 ETOfficial schedule

Can builder incentives support sales without eroding margins?

Before the release

September 2026 · Annualized units

September New Home Sales expectation snapshot, October 13, 2026.
IndicatorPreviousConsensusTE forecast
New home sales0.684M——

A September forecast was not available in the reviewed calendar. Compare the release with the previous sales pace and its revisions.

Trading Economics calendar · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026 · Forecasts can change.

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Sales pace: compare new-home units with recent trend
  2. Median price and incentives: lower prices may be driving volumes
  3. Months of supply: inventory build against future construction plans

Stronger evidence

Volumes hold up with controlled inventory, suggesting demand resilience.

What would weaken the case

Rising inventory and weak units point to growing affordability strain.

How the signal travels. A release affects markets through growth, inflation or the expected policy path. Watch revisions and composition before extending the headline number into an asset-price conclusion.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · XHB, mortgage lenders, lumber and building products. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Official calendar · New home sales, October 27, 10:00 ET.

Link to this event
AlphabetAlphabetGOOGLTechnology / AITime unconfirmedTentative date

Is Google Cloud earning returns on AI infrastructure faster than capex climbs?

The last four reports

4/4 estimates beaten · 2/4 positive first sessions

Alphabet earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026After close$9.11Beat$2.89-7.13%Jul 23 close
Q1 2026After close$5.11Beat$2.64+9.96%Apr 30 close
Q4 2025After close$2.82Beat$2.57-0.54%Feb 05 close
Q3 2025After close$2.87Beat$2.29+2.52%Oct 30 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Cloud: revenue growth, backlog and operating margin together
  2. Search: ad growth and monetization as AI answers expand
  3. Cash: 2027 capex outlook versus FCF and depreciation

Stronger evidence

Cloud profitability and search monetization scale with investment, validating AI spending.

What would weaken the case

Capex accelerates while search mix or Cloud margins dilute returns.

How the signal travels. Separate recurring demand from spending that has yet to earn a return. Peer comparisons require matching product exposure and a similar revenue base.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · MSFT, AMZN, AVGO, MRVL, ANET. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
BoeingBoeingBAIndustrialsTime unconfirmedTentative date

Do deliveries and inventory improvements finally translate into positive cash generation?

The last four reports

2/4 estimates beaten · 2/4 positive first sessions

Boeing earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026Before open-$0.76Miss-$0.34+4.76%Jul 28 close
Q1 2026Before open-$0.20Beat-$0.68+5.53%Apr 22 close
Q4 2025Before open$9.92Beat-$0.40-1.56%Jan 27 close
Q3 2025Before open-$7.47Miss-$0.51-4.37%Oct 29 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Commercial aircraft: production and deliveries by program
  2. Free cash flow: inventory unwind and customer advances
  3. Defense/global services: program charges and execution

Stronger evidence

Higher certified deliveries reduce working capital pressure and improve FCF.

What would weaken the case

Production targets rise but supplier constraints or quality costs keep cash negative.

How the signal travels. Backlog becomes an earnings signal when deliveries, unit costs and collections improve together. Working-capital demands can delay cash even when sales rise.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · GE, RTX, SPR legacy supply chain and airlines. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
UPSUPSUPSIndustrialsTime unconfirmedTentative date

Can pricing and automation offset soft parcel demand and shifting customer mix?

The last four reports

4/4 estimates beaten · 2/4 positive first sessions

UPS earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026Before open$1.76Beat$1.65-6.57%Jul 28 close
Q1 2026Before open$1.07Beat$1.02-3.97%Apr 28 close
Q4 2025Before open$2.38Beat$2.20+0.22%Jan 27 close
Q3 2025Before open$1.74Beat$1.31+8.00%Oct 28 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Domestic volume: business-to-consumer versus business-to-business
  2. Revenue per piece: discounting, fuel surcharge and customer mix
  3. Operating margin: network cost reduction and labor productivity

Stronger evidence

Network savings and pricing lift margins even with modest volume growth.

What would weaken the case

Revenue per package weakens while fixed network costs stay elevated.

How the signal travels. Backlog becomes an earnings signal when deliveries, unit costs and collections improve together. Working-capital demands can delay cash even when sales rise.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · FDX, AMZN, logistics demand and retail sales. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
VisaVisaVFinancialsTime unconfirmedTentative date

Can cross-border volume protect growth if domestic spending slows?

The last four reports

4/4 estimates beaten · 2/4 positive first sessions

Visa earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q3 2026After close$3.32Beat$3.23+0.58%Jul 29 close
Q2 2026After close$3.31Beat$3.10+8.26%Apr 29 close
Q1 2026After close$3.17Beat$3.14-3.00%Jan 30 close
Q4 2025After close$2.98Beat$2.97-1.62%Oct 29 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Cross-border volume ex intra-Europe: travel and FX-sensitive spend
  2. Processed transactions: underlying activity versus ticket size
  3. Client incentives: net revenue yield and value-added services

Stronger evidence

Cross-border momentum and service growth sustain revenue without outsized incentives.

What would weaken the case

Volumes slow while client incentives rise, pressuring net revenue growth.

How the signal travels. Compare lending income, credit costs and fee revenue separately. A stronger result at one firm becomes a sector signal only if comparable banks show the same underlying change.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · MA, AXP, PYPL; global consumer payments. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
StarbucksStarbucksSBUXConsumerTime unconfirmedTentative date

Can the turnaround bring back customer visits without permanent margin erosion?

The last four reports

2/4 estimates beaten · 2/4 positive first sessions

Starbucks earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q3 2026After close$0.85Beat$0.66+1.64%Jul 30 close
Q2 2026After close$0.50Beat$0.44+8.45%Apr 29 close
Q1 2026Before open$0.56Miss$0.59-0.59%Jan 28 close
Q4 2025After close$0.52Miss$0.55-1.21%Oct 30 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. U.S. comp sales: ticket versus transactions
  2. Labor and store investment: wait times, throughput and operating margin
  3. China: comp sales and partner economics

Stronger evidence

Traffic-led comps and improved throughput show recovery without excessive discounts.

What would weaken the case

Positive comps require heavy promotion or labor spending, weakening unit economics.

How the signal travels. Volume, pricing and customer mix determine whether sales growth produces more profit. Compare margins and cash conversion before treating stronger revenue as broad consumer resilience.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · MCD, DPZ, BROS; discretionary consumption. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
RobinhoodRobinhoodHOODFinancialsTime unconfirmedTentative date

Are customer assets and deposits becoming recurring revenue beyond trading cycles?

The last four reports

3/4 estimates beaten · 0/4 positive first sessions

Robinhood earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026After close$0.62Beat$0.44-3.61%Jul 30 close
Q1 2026After close$0.38Miss$0.3853-13.24%Apr 29 close
Q4 2025After close$0.66Beat$0.63-8.91%Feb 11 close
Q3 2025After close$0.61Beat$0.41-10.81%Nov 06 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Net deposits: new money versus market and crypto-price appreciation
  2. Crypto and options: trading revenue concentration
  3. Gold/subscriptions: paid penetration and contribution to margins

Stronger evidence

Recurring subscription and interest revenue grow alongside diversified assets.

What would weaken the case

Reported growth depends on volatile crypto trading or promotional deposits.

How the signal travels. Compare lending income, credit costs and fee revenue separately. A stronger result at one firm becomes a sector signal only if comparable banks show the same underlying change.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · COIN, IBKR, SCHW; retail risk appetite. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
SoFiSoFiSOFIFinancialsTime unconfirmedTentative date

Is deposit-funded growth delivering cleaner credit and fee revenue?

The last four reports

3/4 estimates beaten · 1/4 positive first sessions

SoFi earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026Before open$0.12Beat$0.11-8.90%Jul 29 close
Q1 2026Before open$0.12Met$0.12-15.44%Apr 29 close
Q4 2025Before open$0.13Beat$0.12-6.36%Jan 30 close
Q3 2025Before open$0.11Beat$0.09+5.53%Oct 28 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Deposits: funding costs and loan origination economics
  2. Credit: delinquency, charge-offs and underwriting mix
  3. Fee-based platform revenue: growth apart from balance-sheet lending

Stronger evidence

Lower funding costs and fee growth improve profits with stable credit losses.

What would weaken the case

Aggressive loan growth drives near-term revenue but raises future provisioning risk.

How the signal travels. Compare lending income, credit costs and fee revenue separately. A stronger result at one firm becomes a sector signal only if comparable banks show the same underlying change.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · HOOD, COF, consumer fintech lenders. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event

United StatesFed Rate Decision & Chair Press ConferenceFederal Reserve14:00 ET · decisionOfficial schedule

Does the statement or press conference alter the expected next move more than the rate decision itself?

The October 28 statement is scheduled for 14:00 ET, followed by the press conference at 14:30 ET. The meeting has no scheduled Summary of Economic Projections; language and the Q&A carry the forward signal. Federal Reserve · October calendar

Before the release

October 28 decision

Fed Rate Decision & Chair Press Conference expectation snapshot, October 13, 2026.
IndicatorPreviousConsensusTE forecast
Policy rate · TE series4.0%——

The provider quotes a single policy-rate series, not the full Fed target range. No meeting-specific consensus or forecast was available in this snapshot; no cut probability is inferred.

Trading Economics calendar · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026 · Forecasts can change.

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Decision and vote: compare outcome with consensus and dissents
  2. Statement: inflation/labor-risk balance and wording changes
  3. Chair Q&A: December options, neutral-rate debate and data dependency

Stronger evidence

A data-dependent message consistent with improving inflation could ease front-end yields.

What would weaken the case

A more restrictive path or renewed inflation concern could reprice growth-stock valuations.

How the signal travels. The rate decision changes current borrowing costs, while guidance can alter the expected path of future rates. The statement and press conference can send different signals.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · UST 2Y/10Y, DXY, S&P 500, NASDAQ, bank net-interest outlook. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Official calendar · October 28, 14:00 ET decision; press conference 14:30 ET. October is not marked as a Summary of Economic Projections meeting.

Link to this event
United StatesAdvance Goods Trade & Inventory EstimatesEconomic data08:30 ETOfficial schedule

Does the goods balance or inventory build change the GDP nowcast?

Before the release

September 2026

Advance Goods Trade & Inventory Estimates expectation snapshot, October 13, 2026.
IndicatorPreviousConsensusTE forecast
Goods trade balance−$132.1B——
Wholesale inventories · MoM——0.1%

Consensus is the provider’s analyst survey; TE forecast is Trading Economics’ own estimate. A dash means unavailable, not zero.

Trading Economics calendar · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026 · Forecasts can change.

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Goods deficit: export versus import volume drivers
  2. Wholesale/retail inventories: contribution to headline GDP growth
  3. Revisions: compare with the advance GDP model's assumptions

Stronger evidence

Better net exports with healthy final demand support GDP composition.

What would weaken the case

Inventory accumulation can flatter GDP even when final sales weaken.

How the signal travels. A release affects markets through growth, inflation or the expected policy path. Watch revisions and composition before extending the headline number into an asset-price conclusion.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · USD, transports, GDP nowcasts and cyclical sectors. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Official calendar · Advance Economic Indicators, October 28, 08:30 ET.

Link to this event
VertivVertivVRTAI InfrastructureTime unconfirmedTentative date

Can AI data-center order growth convert into shipments without working-capital strain?

The last four reports

4/4 estimates beaten · 1/4 positive first sessions

Vertiv earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026Before open$1.52Beat$1.43-17.26%Jul 29 close
Q1 2026Before open$1.17Beat$0.9970-2.34%Apr 22 close
Q4 2025Before open$1.36Beat$1.29+24.49%Feb 11 close
Q3 2025Before open$1.24Beat$0.99-1.84%Oct 22 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Orders and book-to-bill: hyperscaler demand versus prior quarter
  2. Backlog: timing of liquid-cooling and power-system deliveries
  3. Margins/FCF: capacity expansion, supplier constraints and cash conversion

Stronger evidence

Orders convert into higher margins and cash with manageable lead times.

What would weaken the case

Backlog rises but deliveries, pricing or cash collection disappoint.

How the signal travels. Compare the operating driver, margin effect and cash timing with similar businesses before treating one company’s result as a broader market signal.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · ETN, GEV, NVDA, data-center infrastructure. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
MicrosoftMicrosoftMSFTTechnology / AITime unconfirmedDate confirmed

Can Azure growth turn AI infrastructure spending into cash returns?

Microsoft confirms October 28 for FY27 Q1 earnings. The operating question is whether cloud demand generates returns after the cost of adding AI capacity, rather than whether spending rises on its own. Microsoft IR · date reviewed Oct 13

The last four reports

4/4 estimates beaten · 1/4 positive first sessions

Microsoft earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q4 2026After close$4.74Beat$4.24+15.51%Jul 30 close
Q3 2026After close$4.27Beat$4.06-3.93%Apr 30 close
Q2 2026After close$4.14Beat$3.86-9.99%Jan 29 close
Q1 2026After close$4.13Beat$3.65-2.92%Oct 30 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Azure: constant-currency growth and AI capacity contribution
  2. Copilot: paid seat expansion and commercial monetization
  3. Capex: finance leases, depreciation and FCF relative to cloud margin

Stronger evidence

Azure and AI usage strengthen with visible monetization and manageable incremental capex.

What would weaken the case

Record spending outpaces utilization or margin contribution despite robust bookings.

How the signal travels. Separate recurring demand from spending that has yet to earn a return. Peer comparisons require matching product exposure and a similar revenue base.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · GOOGL, AMZN, ORCL, NVDA, ETN. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Company announcement · Company confirms October 28 and FY27 Q1. The page reviewed does not independently confirm the release time.

Link to this event
Meta PlatformsMeta PlatformsMETATechnology / AITime unconfirmedTentative date

Can better ad economics pay for the next AI infrastructure budget?

The last four reports

3/4 estimates beaten · 1/4 positive first sessions

Meta Platforms earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026After close$6.18Miss$7.19-7.95%Jul 30 close
Q1 2026After close$10.44Beat$6.67-8.55%Apr 30 close
Q4 2025After close$8.88Beat$8.16+10.40%Jan 29 close
Q3 2025After close$7.25Beat$6.74-11.33%Oct 30 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Ads: impressions, price per ad and Reels monetization
  2. AI products: measurable engagement gains and user adoption
  3. 2027 capex: depreciation and operating-expense trajectory versus FCF

Stronger evidence

Ad yield and engagement gains justify infrastructure costs without eroding core margins.

What would weaken the case

Capex commitments climb faster than earnings or AI monetization visibility.

How the signal travels. Separate recurring demand from spending that has yet to earn a return. Peer comparisons require matching product exposure and a similar revenue base.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · GOOGL, SNAP, PINS, NVDA, AVGO. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
GE VernovaGE VernovaGEVEnergyTime unconfirmedTentative date

Can gas turbines and grid bottlenecks unlock pricing and cash conversion?

The last four reports

2/4 estimates beaten · 2/4 positive first sessions

GE Vernova earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026Before open$2.47Miss$3.17-8.69%Jul 22 close
Q1 2026Before open$17.44Beat$1.95+13.75%Apr 22 close
Q4 2025Before open$13.39Beat$2.99+2.73%Jan 28 close
Q3 2025Before open$1.64Miss$1.72-1.59%Oct 22 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Power and electrification: equipment orders and backlog margin
  2. Gas turbines: production slots, pricing and delivery dates
  3. Working capital: advance payments versus capacity expansion costs

Stronger evidence

High-value backlog converts to cash while margin improves across power and grid.

What would weaken the case

Orders stay strong but delivery constraints or working capital suppress FCF.

How the signal travels. Price, project mix and operating costs determine how much demand reaches free cash flow. Similar commodity exposure does not imply the same margin outcome.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · ETN, VRT, grid hardware and utilities. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
ServiceNowServiceNowNOWTechnologyTime unconfirmedTentative date

Are enterprise customers buying AI workflow seats at scale rather than piloting them?

The last four reports

3/4 estimates beaten · 1/4 positive first sessions

ServiceNow earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026After close$0.90Beat$0.86-3.69%Jul 23 close
Q1 2026After close$0.97Met$0.97-17.75%Apr 23 close
Q4 2025After close$0.92Beat$0.89-9.94%Jan 29 close
Q2 2025After close$0.8180Beat$0.7140+4.16%Jul 24 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Current remaining performance obligations: forward revenue visibility
  2. Large deals: subscription growth and renewal rates
  3. AI upsell: workflow monetization versus sales investment

Stronger evidence

Large-contract momentum and CRPO support sustained subscription growth.

What would weaken the case

AI pilots do not convert to sizeable subscriptions or billings guidance weakens.

How the signal travels. Separate recurring demand from spending that has yet to earn a return. Peer comparisons require matching product exposure and a similar revenue base.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · CRM, MSFT, IBM; enterprise SaaS budgets. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
FordFordFAutomotiveTime unconfirmedTentative date

Can Ford protect truck cash flow while its EV and warranty costs remain elevated?

The last four reports

4/4 estimates beaten · 3/4 positive first sessions

Ford earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026After close$0.42Beat$0.33+2.14%Jul 29 close
Q1 2026After close$0.66Beat$0.1829-1.31%Apr 30 close
Q4 2025After close$0.13Beat$0.06+2.06%Feb 11 close
Q3 2025After close$0.45Beat$0.38+12.16%Oct 24 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. Release dates follow the timing source or issuer where the EPS provider differs. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Ford Blue/Pro: pricing, fleet demand and segment profits
  2. Model e: EV losses and investment pace
  3. Warranty and cash: recalls, operating FCF and shareholder returns

Stronger evidence

Commercial vehicle profits fund EV transition with contained warranty charges.

What would weaken the case

Pricing and EV losses pressure profitability, with warranty costs undermining FCF.

How the signal travels. Volume reaches profit through selling prices, manufacturing costs and inventory. More deliveries can still leave less cash if discounts or investment absorb the proceeds.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · GM, TSLA, auto suppliers. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event

United StatesQ3 GDP — Advance EstimateEconomic data08:30 ETOfficial schedule

Is growth being driven by household spending and investment or by volatile trade/inventories?

BEA schedules advance Q3 GDP and September Personal Income and Outlays together on October 29 at 08:30 ET. Read demand composition alongside inflation; inventories and trade can move GDP without the same change in final demand. BEA · official calendar

Before the release

Q3 2026 · Seasonally adjusted annual rate

Q3 GDP — Advance Estimate expectation snapshot, October 13, 2026.
IndicatorPreviousConsensusTE forecast
Real GDP growth · QoQ2.2%—0.9%

Consensus is the provider’s analyst survey; TE forecast is Trading Economics’ own estimate. A dash means unavailable, not zero.

Trading Economics calendar · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026 · Forecasts can change.

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Real personal consumption: contribution and durability
  2. Business investment: equipment, software and AI-related structures
  3. Net exports and inventory: strip one-off headline contributors

Stronger evidence

Strong final domestic demand with manageable price pressure supports earnings expectations.

What would weaken the case

Headline growth driven by inventory accumulation or a temporary trade swing, alongside weakening final domestic sales, gives a less durable earnings signal.

How the signal travels. Household demand and business investment have different earnings implications from inventory accumulation or trade swings. Read final demand before extrapolating the headline growth rate.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · UST yields, USD, XLY, XLI and S&P 500 earnings. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Official calendar · Q3 GDP advance estimate, October 29, 08:30 ET.

Link to this event
United StatesSeptember PCE Inflation ReportEconomic data08:30 ETOfficial schedule

Does the Fed's preferred core measure validate or contradict the CPI signal?

PCE inflation arrives with September Personal Income and Outlays and advance Q3 GDP at 08:30 ET on October 29. The release comes after the October policy decision, so it can inform the next meeting’s debate rather than that decision. BEA · official calendar

Before the release

September 2026

September PCE Inflation Report expectation snapshot, October 13, 2026.
IndicatorPreviousConsensusTE forecast
Core PCE · MoM0.2%—0.2%
Core PCE · YoY3.0%—3.3%

Consensus is the provider’s analyst survey; TE forecast is Trading Economics’ own estimate. A dash means unavailable, not zero.

Trading Economics calendar · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026 · Forecasts can change.

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Core PCE m/m: the cleanest immediate policy-repricing measure
  2. Services ex housing and goods: breadth of sticky categories
  3. Personal income/spending: whether nominal gains translate into real demand

Stronger evidence

Soft core PCE with solid real spending would support a less restrictive rate outlook.

What would weaken the case

Sticky core inflation alongside slow real spending sharpens the policy trade-off.

How the signal travels. A core inflation surprise may affect expectations for the next policy meeting. Its equity effect depends on the balance between discount rates and the growth outlook.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · UST 2Y, DXY, QQQ, sector duration sensitivity. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Official calendar · September Personal Income and Outlays, October 29, 08:30 ET; includes PCE inflation.

Link to this event
Eli LillyEli LillyLLYHealth CareTime unconfirmedTentative date

Can blockbuster obesity-drug demand translate into supply-led revenue growth and margins?

The last four reports

4/4 estimates beaten · 4/4 positive first sessions

Eli Lilly earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026Before open$8.38Beat$6.40+4.86%Aug 05 close
Q1 2026Before open$8.55Beat$6.97+9.80%Apr 30 close
Q4 2025Before open$7.54Beat$7.48+10.33%Feb 04 close
Q3 2025Before open$7.02Beat$6.42+3.81%Oct 30 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Obesity/diabetes: prescription growth and realized net prices
  2. Manufacturing: available doses, supply expansion and launch timing
  3. Guidance: growth versus R&D, commercial and capacity costs

Stronger evidence

Volume growth and stable net pricing support an upward earnings path as supply expands.

What would weaken the case

Pricing pressure, supply constraints or higher launch expense dilute revenue momentum.

How the signal travels. Revenue growth improves the earnings case only if reimbursement, utilization and operating costs leave enough margin. Different product mixes can limit comparisons across peers.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · NVO, pharma distribution and obesity-treatment ecosystem. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
AppleAppleAAPLTechnologyTime unconfirmedTentative date

Is the iPhone upgrade cycle strengthening while Services sustains profitability?

The last four reports

4/4 estimates beaten · 2/4 positive first sessions

Apple earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q3 2026After close$2.02Beat$1.89-7.35%Jul 31 close
Q2 2026After close$2.01Beat$1.95+3.24%May 01 close
Q1 2026After close$2.84Beat$2.67+0.46%Jan 30 close
Q4 2025After close$1.85Beat$1.74-0.38%Oct 31 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. iPhone: volume versus ASP and geographic mix, especially China
  2. Services: growth, paid subscriptions and regulatory pressure
  3. Gross margin: hardware mix, component costs and 2027 commentary

Stronger evidence

Upgrades and Services growth offset higher costs, with stable margins.

What would weaken the case

China demand weakens and product mix or costs compress margins despite EPS strength.

How the signal travels. Separate recurring demand from spending that has yet to earn a return. Peer comparisons require matching product exposure and a similar revenue base.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · QCOM, TSM, AVGO, smartphone suppliers. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
AmazonAmazonAMZNTechnology / AITime unconfirmedTentative date

Can AWS AI demand and retail efficiency coexist with a bigger infrastructure bill?

The last four reports

3/4 estimates beaten · 3/4 positive first sessions

Amazon earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026After close$5.75Beat$1.82+15.32%Jul 31 close
Q1 2026After close$2.78Beat$1.63+0.77%Apr 30 close
Q4 2025After close$1.95Miss$1.97-5.55%Feb 06 close
Q3 2025After close$1.95Beat$1.57+9.58%Oct 31 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. AWS: growth, backlog, custom silicon adoption and operating margin
  2. Retail: North America margin, fulfillment productivity and ads
  3. Cash: capex, lease commitments and trailing free cash flow

Stronger evidence

AWS accelerates and retail margins expand faster than investment costs.

What would weaken the case

AI capex surges without matching cloud utilization or operating income gains.

How the signal travels. Separate recurring demand from spending that has yet to earn a return. Peer comparisons require matching product exposure and a similar revenue base.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · MSFT, GOOGL, NVDA, AVGO, SHOP. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
IntelIntelINTCSemiconductorsTime unconfirmedTentative date

Is the foundry turnaround gaining external customers without exhausting cash resources?

The last four reports

4/4 estimates beaten · 2/4 positive first sessions

Intel earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026After close$0.42Beat$0.21-7.89%Jul 24 close
Q1 2026After close$0.29Beat$0.0090+23.60%Apr 24 close
Q4 2025After close$0.15Beat$0.08-17.03%Jan 23 close
Q3 2025After close$0.23Beat$0.0047+0.31%Oct 24 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Foundry: external design wins, roadmap milestones and yield progress
  2. Products: server/client mix and gross margin
  3. Balance sheet: capex, subsidies and cash-burn trajectory

Stronger evidence

Credible milestones plus margin stabilization reduce execution risk.

What would weaken the case

Foundry spending grows without customer commitments or improved yields.

How the signal travels. Customer spending reaches chip and equipment suppliers through orders, shipments and utilization. Bookings support the demand case only if they later convert into revenue and cash.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · AMD, TSM, INTC suppliers and U.S. semiconductor policy. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
MastercardMastercardMAFinancialsTime unconfirmedTentative date

Are cross-border travel and value-added services sustaining Mastercard's premium growth?

The last four reports

4/4 estimates beaten · 2/4 positive first sessions

Mastercard earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026Before open$5.04Beat$4.77+2.49%Jul 30 close
Q1 2026Before open$4.60Beat$4.41-4.25%Apr 30 close
Q4 2025Before open$4.76Beat$4.24+4.29%Jan 29 close
Q3 2025Before open$4.38Beat$4.31-0.16%Oct 30 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Cross-border: volume growth excluding FX swings
  2. Switched transactions: consumer activity versus ticket inflation
  3. Services: cybersecurity and data fees versus client incentives

Stronger evidence

Services and cross-border volume keep net-revenue growth resilient.

What would weaken the case

Volume slows and rebates absorb more incremental revenue.

How the signal travels. Compare lending income, credit costs and fee revenue separately. A stronger result at one firm becomes a sector signal only if comparable banks show the same underlying change.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · V, AXP, PYPL, travel-demand indicators. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
MerckMerckMRKHealth CareTime unconfirmedTentative date

Can pipeline progress offset the eventual concentration risk around Keytruda?

The last four reports

4/4 estimates beaten · 2/4 positive first sessions

Merck earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026Before open-$0.13Beat-$0.26+0.18%Aug 04 close
Q1 2026Before open-$1.28Beat-$1.47-1.60%Apr 30 close
Q4 2025Before open$2.04Beat$2.01+2.18%Feb 03 close
Q3 2025Before open$2.58Beat$2.36-0.35%Oct 30 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Keytruda: geography and approved indication mix
  2. New launches: adoption versus marketing and R&D spending
  3. Pipeline: late-stage trial timelines and patent-exposure preparation

Stronger evidence

Newer products scale and pipeline milestones support post-Keytruda visibility.

What would weaken the case

Revenue concentration and launch spending grow faster than offsets.

How the signal travels. Revenue growth improves the earnings case only if reimbursement, utilization and operating costs leave enough margin. Different product mixes can limit comparisons across peers.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · JNJ, ABBV, LLY and oncology biotech. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
CoinbaseCoinbaseCOINCryptoTime unconfirmedTentative date

Can recurring revenue soften the exchange's dependence on crypto-market volatility?

The last four reports

1/4 estimates beaten · 3/4 positive first sessions

Coinbase earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026After close-$1.36Miss-$0.4438-10.59%Jul 31 close
Q1 2026After close-$1.49Miss$0.0638+4.25%May 08 close
Q4 2025After close$0.66Miss$0.83+16.46%Feb 13 close
Q3 2025After close$1.44Beat$1.04+4.65%Oct 31 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Transaction take rate: spot volumes versus fee competition
  2. Subscriptions/services: stablecoin, staking and custody revenue
  3. Expenses: regulatory costs and margin sensitivity to price swings

Stronger evidence

Non-trading revenue grows and costs remain disciplined through choppy volumes.

What would weaken the case

An EPS surprise driven mainly by crypto revaluations or temporary volume is fragile.

How the signal travels. Compare the operating driver, margin effect and cash timing with similar businesses before treating one company’s result as a broader market signal.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · HOOD, BTC-linked equities and crypto infrastructure. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
CloudflareCloudflareNETTechnologyTime unconfirmedTentative date

Is Cloudflare gaining larger enterprise contracts without sacrificing margins?

The last four reports

4/4 estimates beaten · 3/4 positive first sessions

Cloudflare earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026After close$0.29Beat$0.2684+5.57%Aug 07 close
Q1 2026After close$0.25Beat$0.2306-23.62%May 08 close
Q4 2025After close$0.28Beat$0.27+5.24%Feb 11 close
Q3 2025After close$0.27Beat$0.23+13.84%Oct 31 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Large customers: $100K+ spend cohorts and dollar-based expansion
  2. Security/Workers/AI: actual contract monetization versus product announcements
  3. FCF: sales efficiency and infrastructure costs

Stronger evidence

Enterprise growth and positive cash leverage validate the AI-edge narrative.

What would weaken the case

Bookings fail to convert and infrastructure or sales costs pressure margins.

How the signal travels. Separate recurring demand from spending that has yet to earn a return. Peer comparisons require matching product exposure and a similar revenue base.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · CRWD, PANW, AKAM; AI-edge infrastructure. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
RobloxRobloxRBLXTechnologyTime unconfirmedTentative date

Are engagement gains turning into higher bookings per user and better cash margins?

The last four reports

4/4 estimates beaten · 1/4 positive first sessions

Roblox earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026After close-$0.26Beat-$0.3438-26.85%Jul 31 close
Q1 2026After close-$0.35Beat-$0.4093-18.33%May 01 close
Q4 2025After close-$0.45Beat-$0.49+9.66%Feb 06 close
Q3 2025Before open-$0.37Beat-$0.44-15.51%Oct 30 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. DAUs and hours engaged: age and geography mix
  2. Bookings per DAU: monetization, currency and paid conversion
  3. Developer economics: payout costs, moderation and cash conversion

Stronger evidence

Higher engagement monetizes without accelerating creator or safety costs.

What would weaken the case

User growth rises but bookings per user and margins fall.

How the signal travels. Separate recurring demand from spending that has yet to earn a return. Peer comparisons require matching product exposure and a similar revenue base.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · RBLX gaming peers, U, gaming-advertising ecosystem. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event

United StatesQ3 Employment Cost Index (ECI)Economic data08:30 ETOfficial schedule

Are underlying wage and benefit costs still reinforcing services inflation?

Before the release

Q3 2026

Q3 Employment Cost Index (ECI) expectation snapshot, October 13, 2026.
IndicatorPreviousConsensusTE forecast
Employment Cost Index · QoQ0.9%—0.6%

Consensus is the provider’s analyst survey; TE forecast is Trading Economics’ own estimate. A dash means unavailable, not zero.

Trading Economics calendar · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026 · Forecasts can change.

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Private-industry wages: underlying compensation trend
  2. Benefits: separate health and other costs from hourly pay
  3. Quarterly pace: compare with productivity-consistent wage growth

Stronger evidence

Cooling compensation pressure would support underlying services disinflation.

What would weaken the case

Reacceleration suggests persistent labor-intensive service pricing pressure.

How the signal travels. A release affects markets through growth, inflation or the expected policy path. Watch revisions and composition before extending the headline number into an asset-price conclusion.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · UST yields, labor-intensive services, small-cap employers. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Official calendar · Q3 Employment Cost Index, October 30, 08:30 ET.

Link to this event
ChevronChevronCVXEnergyTime unconfirmedTentative date

Are upstream profits retaining enough cash after higher development spending?

The last four reports

4/4 estimates beaten · 3/4 positive first sessions

Chevron earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026Before open$6.06Beat$5.55+2.35%Jul 31 close
Q1 2026Before open$1.41Beat$1.00-1.39%May 01 close
Q4 2025Before open$1.52Beat$1.44+3.34%Jan 30 close
Q3 2025Before open$1.85Beat$1.71+2.74%Oct 31 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Production and realization: volumes versus crude and gas benchmarks
  2. Downstream: refining margins and maintenance costs
  3. FCF: project capex versus dividend and buybacks

Stronger evidence

Operating cash supports shareholder returns without higher leverage.

What would weaken the case

Oil-price strength is offset by overruns or weaker refining and cash conversion.

How the signal travels. Price, project mix and operating costs determine how much demand reaches free cash flow. Similar commodity exposure does not imply the same margin outcome.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · XOM, COP, SLB, XLE. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
AbbVieAbbVieABBVHealth CareTime unconfirmedTentative date

Are newer immunology drugs reliably replacing revenue lost to Humira?

The last four reports

4/4 estimates beaten · 1/4 positive first sessions

AbbVie earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026Before open$3.65Beat$3.61-2.51%Jul 31 close
Q1 2026Before open$2.65Beat$2.59+3.14%Apr 29 close
Q4 2025Before open$2.71Beat$2.65-3.79%Feb 04 close
Q3 2025Before open$1.86Beat$1.77-4.45%Oct 31 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Skyrizi/Rinvoq: growth and market-share trajectory
  2. Neuroscience and oncology: launch trends and late-stage pipeline
  3. Margins: rebate pressure and R&D or acquisition-related expense

Stronger evidence

Skyrizi and Rinvoq sustain growth with stable profitability and pipeline progress.

What would weaken the case

Pricing/rebates rise or new launches fail to offset legacy erosion.

How the signal travels. Revenue growth improves the earnings case only if reimbursement, utilization and operating costs leave enough margin. Different product mixes can limit comparisons across peers.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · JNJ, MRK, biotech and immunology peers. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event
RegeneronRegeneronREGNHealth CareTime unconfirmedTentative date

Can Eylea competition be offset by next-generation eye-care sales and pipeline depth?

The last four reports

4/4 estimates beaten · 2/4 positive first sessions

Regeneron earnings history as of October 13, 2026. EPS in U.S. dollars.
ReportReported EPSConsensusFirst-session move
Q2 2026Before open$14.29Beat$10.16+6.17%Jul 30 close
Q1 2026Before open$9.47Beat$8.91-6.21%Apr 29 close
Q4 2025Before open$11.44Beat$10.74-1.07%Jan 30 close
Q3 2025Before open$11.83Beat$9.73+11.82%Oct 28 close

EPS uses the provider’s comparable reported figure, which can differ from GAAP. First session: release day for pre-market reports, next trading day for after-close reports. Close-to-close price change; see methodology below.

EPS & consensus: MarketBeat / Fiscal.ai · Release timing: OptionSlam · Daily closes: Yahoo Finance · Snapshot Oct 13, 2026

Editorial analysis · Conditional signals, not reported results or price forecasts

  1. Eylea HD versus legacy Eylea: conversion and net realized prices
  2. Dupixent alliance: profit contribution and demand
  3. Pipeline: late-stage trial catalysts, spending and buybacks

Stronger evidence

Eylea HD stabilizes eye-care economics while Dupixent and pipeline expand.

What would weaken the case

Competitive pressure compresses eye-care margins faster than new products scale.

How the signal travels. Revenue growth improves the earnings case only if reimbursement, utilization and operating costs leave enough margin. Different product mixes can limit comparisons across peers.

Comparison group from the original editorial brief · ABBV, MRK, ophthalmology and immunology biotech. These are research comparisons, not predicted price moves.

Draft calendar reference · Date carried forward from the supplied draft calendar. It has not been independently reconfirmed for this edition; check the issuer or agency before relying on it.

Link to this event

Sources & scope

Official release dates were checked against BLS, BEA, the Federal Reserve, the 2026 Census calendar and the company announcements linked in each brief.

How to read this timeline

This is a dated snapshot, not a live calendar. Of 91 entries inherited from the supplied draft, 22 dates were independently rechecked for this edition; 69 remain tentative. Coverage is selective, not a complete market calendar. Event times are shown only when supported or explicitly qualified; a webcast time is distinguished from a results release.

The research questions, scenarios, comparison groups and “Key events” selection are editorial analysis. An official calendar supports a date; it does not endorse the analysis. Unverified estimates from the supplied draft were removed. The historical earnings and macro expectations added here were observed on October 13, 2026. TSMC guidance is explicitly identified as company guidance. None of the conditional signals is a price target or a forecast.

Each company shows its four most recent reported quarters, rather than forecast quarters. EPS and consensus use MarketBeat’s comparable reported figure (Fiscal.ai); it may differ from GAAP. ASML uses Benzinga’s USD earnings-surprise series throughout its four rows, while the issuer reports in euros. Prologis uses Core FFO per share for the consensus comparison. The first-session move is calculated from Yahoo Finance regular-session closes: the release-day close against the preceding trading close for a pre-market report, and the next trading-day close against the release-day close for an after-close report. Release timing comes from publicly visible OptionSlam date fields, with issuer checks for date conflicts. Returns exclude after-hours quotes and dividends, and include other news moving the stock that day; four observations do not establish a reliable probability.

Economic tables separate previous readings, provider survey consensus and Trading Economics’ own forecasts. A dash means the field was unavailable when reviewed, never zero. These are dated snapshots and are not updated automatically.

For information only, not investment advice. Schedules can change; check the original issuer or agency. Company icons are sourced from corporate websites and identified brand assets; a plain ticker identifies a company when a reliable image is unavailable.